Minister explains the impact of Eskom tariff increases for municipal buyers by 9.01%
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IOL
iol.co.za

Minister explains the impact of Eskom tariff increases for municipal buyers by 9.01%

The Minister of Electricity and Energy, Kgosientsho Ramkgoppa, explained that the average increase in Eskom tariffs by 9.01% applies to municipal wholesale buyers in the 2026/27 financial year, according to the South African National Energy Regulator's tariff determination.

Ramkgoppa emphasized that this increase in the cost of electricity supplied by Eskom to municipalities does not automatically mean an equivalent percentage increase in every household's bills.

These clarifications were provided in response to questions from Parliament by EFF faction member Nazier Polsen, who asked whether his department assessed the impact of the increase, which came into effect on July 1, 2026, on Cape Town households, especially low-income and needy families.

In his response, Ramkgoppa explained that the country's power supply industry operates within a system where Eskom supplies electricity directly to some customers and wholesale to municipalities, which then distribute and sell energy to consumers in their service areas.

He stated that no separate household-level study had been confirmed for the City of Cape Town isolating the impact of the 9.01% increase in Eskom's wholesale tariff.

The reason for this is that only the increase in the wholesale tariff is insufficient to determine the real financial impact on the population. Such an assessment requires an analysis of the city's approved retail tariffs for 2026/27, household consumption profiles, applicable fixed charges, support mechanisms for the needy, and the degree to which changes in wholesale electricity costs are reflected in the tariffs applied to different consumer categories.

Nevertheless, the minister noted that his department recognizes the importance of protecting vulnerable consumers from energy poverty. Ramkgoppa mentioned that existing support measures in the City of Cape Town include a subsidized lifeline tariff for eligible residential customers and free basic electricity quotas for suitable households.

According to the city's tariffs for 2026/27, qualified customers using the lifeline tariff can receive either 60 kWh or 25 kWh of free basic electricity monthly, depending on average electricity consumption. Compliance requirements apply.

When asked about the city's decision to procure up to 200 megawatts of electricity from Independent Power Producers (IPPs), Ramkgoppa stated that his department supports the diversification of electricity supply and the participation of municipalities in procuring from IPPs.

He added that this is part of broader efforts to improve supply reliability, reduce dependence on a single electricity supplier, stimulate private investment, and promote the development of a competitive electricity market. Ramkgoppa stressed that the procurement of 200 megawatts of electricity by the City of Cape Town from IPPs aligns with the overall goal of diversifying electricity supply.

Ramkgoppa also reported that his department is engaging with the city to consider its application for appropriate determination in accordance with the Electricity Regulation Act. He clarified that municipal procurement of electricity from IPPs remains subject to applicable legislation, regulatory requirements, grid connection standards, environmental norms, and procurement requirements.

This, he said, falls within the scope of broader measures to improve energy supply reliability, reduce reliance on a single supplier, and develop a competitive market. He reiterated that the City of Cape Town's procurement of 200 megawatts of electricity from IPPs is consistent with the overall goal of diversifying electricity supply.

Polsen also asked Ramkgoppa whether he assessed the consequences of the growing trend of municipalities independently purchasing electricity, bypassing Eskom. In response, Ramkgoppa stated that Eskom recognizes the changing energy landscape where municipalities are increasingly purchasing electricity from IPPs.

He noted that Eskom has developed a new business model aimed at adapting to this evolving market, strengthening its competitiveness, and ensuring long-term sustainability. This model allows Eskom to respond to increased competition by developing additional products and services, more flexible offerings for customers, and new revenue streams across the entire energy value chain.

Ramkgoppa concluded that Eskom's sustainability will depend not only on electricity sales but also on its ability to diversify offerings, retain and attract customers, improve operational efficiency, and adapt to the changing needs of municipalities and other consumers.

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Concurrently, oil prices exceeded $115 per barrel of Brent crude. Renewed tensions in the Middle East, including increased Iranian attacks on tankers and reduced traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, led to record freight rates and unusually low inventories.

Furthermore, the approach of winter in the Northern Hemisphere adds another source of demand uncertainty, even if the expected El Niño pattern may mitigate some heating needs.

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The rise in oil prices intensified concerns about imported inflation. In response, the MTBPS announced a temporary reduction in fuel excise duties: 3 rand per liter for diesel and 1.50 rand per liter for petrol, from November 4 to December 1, with subsequent smaller reductions until early January. The IOL Fuel Price Support program indicates that this R10 billion intervention is aimed at supporting drivers and businesses without disrupting the overall fiscal trajectory.

This relief should help offset routine monthly price adjustments and limit the transmission of these changes into inflation and interest rates. Meanwhile, the interest rate differential between South Africa and the United States is expected to begin narrowing. The US is still viewed as a country that will raise rates this year, whereas no such move is anticipated from South Africa. This narrowing creates some downward pressure on the rand. However, the currency has not fallen as sharply as often seen during full-blown risk-off episodes. Volatility remained lower than in previous years, especially against the euro and pound, indicating that positive domestic conditions provided a partial buffer.

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Annabel Bishop reported that Moody's assigned South Africa a BB rating and upgraded the outlook to positive in May. A rating upgrade remains likely within approximately eighteen months, provided the fiscal trajectory is maintained. The agency noted that the recent statement demonstrated continued fiscal consolidation despite tighter monetary policy and weaker nominal GDP growth, which negatively impacted some indicators.

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Reports published around the MTBPS highlighted the same themes. The Ministry of Finance adjusted its 2026 growth forecast downwards to 1.2 percent, reflecting the oil shock and tougher global conditions. Nevertheless, debt stabilized for the first time in nearly two decades at 78.4 percent of GDP, and the primary surplus is expanding. A draft legislation on a fiscal anchor was released for public discussion, signaling an intent to ensure long-term discipline. Savings exceeding 38 billion rand were identified in the medium term through efficiency measures and loss reduction.

These domestic changes help explain why the recent weakness of the rand was more moderate than in previous periods of global caution. Markets appear to differentiate between temporary external pressure and a fiscal structure that continues to move in the right direction. In the long term, oil prices, gold prices, US rate expectations, and overall risk sentiment will remain dominant short-term factors affecting the exchange rate. Domestically, the fuel excise relief should help curb inflationary pressure, while the MTBPS assured investors that consolidation remains on track.

Under the base case scenario, the gradual removal of structural constraints, moderate growth, and sustained fiscal discipline should support greater rand stability in the medium term. The positive rating trajectory and improved revenues create a solid foundation. Currently, Moody's message is straightforward: the past budget update was positive for the credit rating. The prospect of a rating upgrade mentioned earlier this year remains valid, provided the government continues to follow the consolidation path set by the Minister of Finance. This is a constructive signal for investors and the broader economy while global conditions remain unstable.

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