Investors will monitor WPI inflation, oil prices, and FII activity when forecasting stock market movements this week

Analysts note that investor sentiment this week will be determined by WPI inflation data, foreign investor activity, crude oil prices, and events in West Asia.

Globally, expectations regarding interest rates and sentiment in the technology sector will be shaped by US retail sales, the Nvidia report, and Federal Reserve meeting minutes (FOMC).

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Ajit Mishra, SVP Research from Religare Broking, stated that crude oil price movements, the dollar exchange rate, US Treasury yields, and FII flows will remain key factors influencing market direction. He added that the domestic economic agenda will be busy, as WPI inflation data for October and trade data are scheduled for Monday, November 16th.

Furthermore, investors worldwide will analyze US retail sales, FOMC meeting minutes, and US unemployment benefit applications to gain signals on the pace of economic growth and the future trajectory of monetary policy.

The expert noted that Indian stocks are expected to show positive momentum this week, continuing their gradual rise. This optimism is supported by record purchases by foreign institutional investors, strong domestic fundamentals, and a promising second-quarter earnings season.

Siddhartha Khemka, Head of Research at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, mentioned that investors will track Japan's GDP, US retail sales, inflation in the UK and EU, US employment data, and Federal Reserve meeting minutes.

In early November, foreign investors significantly increased their positions in Indian stocks, injecting ₹84,290 crore after two months of net outflows. This occurred amid a global slowdown in artificial intelligence, falling crude oil prices, and attractive valuations of large companies.

Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, emphasized that the development of global markets will continue to influence domestic sentiment, especially volatility related to Wall Street technology. Concerns over inflated valuations in artificial intelligence and the sustainability of semiconductor investments have caused periodic selling in global tech stocks.

He warned that a deeper correction in this segment could weaken overall risk appetite and negatively affect sentiment towards Indian IT companies. Investors will also closely watch US Treasury yields and the dollar exchange rate, as an increase in either could tighten financial conditions and impact capital inflow into emerging markets.

The CEO of Enrich Money added that crude oil prices and currency fluctuations remain important external factors.

Last week, the BSE Sensex index, comprising 30 stocks, rose by 564.43 points, or 0.69 percent, and the NSE Nifty index, comprising 50 stocks, increased by 113.95 points or 0.45 percent.

Hariselvan Radhakrishnan, Founder & CEO of HST Wealth, Research Analyst firm, believes that events in the US bond market will remain a key factor for foreign flows. Strong US retail activity or hawkish signals in FOMC minutes could strengthen expectations of tighter monetary policy, keeping Treasury yields above the 5 percent threshold. Crude oil represents another important variable for domestic sentiment.

Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments Limited, noted that markets will begin to account for the Reserve Bank of India's reaction before its policy review in December, with crude oil and foreign flows being other key points of observation.

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business-standard.comNovember 12, 05:21

Indian Markets: Sensex Unchanged at Pre-Open, Nifty Near 25,200; Asian Markets Rise

The market showed a mixed picture: the Sensex remained unchanged during the pre-opening phase, while the Nifty index was around the 25,200 mark. Meanwhile, most markets in the Asia-Pacific region demonstrated growth at the start of the trading session.

According to data from November 12, 2026, the GIFT Nifty indicated a positive start for the Nifty50 index, as most global signals remained optimistic. Futures for this index were valued at 25,245, which is 31 points higher.

Most Asia-Pacific markets opened higher in early trades on Thursday, reflecting movements that occurred on Wall Street the previous day. The Nikkei 225 of Japan and the Kospi of South Korea rose by 0.72% and 0.67%, respectively. However, the Hang Seng index fell by 1.27%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 closed higher the day before, by 0.49% and 1.31%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished trading with a gain of 1.60%. In after-hours trading, Nvidia's stock price dropped by 7% following reports of a potential board of directors move to replace CEO Jensen Huang.

Brent crude oil lost its daily gain on Thursday morning. In the previous session, oil prices rose by 1% after Iran announced the preservation of its nuclear material reserves—the main point of contention between Tehran and Washington. January futures traded on the Intercontinental Exchange at $91.93 per barrel, which is 0.77% lower.

Gold and silver futures decreased by 0.29% and 0.74%, respectively.

Second Quarter Results Today

A number of companies, including Action Construction Equipment, Alkem Laboratories, Amber Enterprises India, Astra Microwave Products, Automotive Axles, Avalon Technologies, Bharat Dynamics, Bondada Engineering, Caplin Point Laboratories, Dilip Buildcon, Dollar Industries, EIH, Elevate Campuses, EMS, Ethos, Fiem Industries, Hindustan Aeronautics, Hinduja Global Solutions, Vodafone Idea, IFCI, Indian Railway Catering & Tourism Corporation (IRCTC), Kennametal India, Kesoram Industries, Landmark Cars, Manappuram Finance, Man Industries (India), NMDC, NMDC Steel, Oil India, Ola Electric Mobility, Oswal Pumps, Page Industries, Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Health Care, Hitachi Energy India, Premier Explosives, Rane Holdings, Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers (RCF), Religare Enterprises, Reliance Power, Sharda Motor Industries, S.P. Apparels, TARC, Tarsons Products, TD Power Systems, Techno Electric & Engineering Company, Travel Food Services, and Uflex, will publish their financial results on Wednesday.

Rupee Opens Slightly Weaker Against US Dollar

According to Bloomberg data, the rupee opened 5 points weaker against the US dollar, reaching 93.74, compared to the closing level of 93.69 against the dollar on Wednesday.

MSCI Index Changes

In the November 2026 review, MSCI included four stocks in its MSCI India Standard Index: Coforge, Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC), Adani Green Energy, and Meesho. Additionally, the company PI Industries was excluded from the index.

Stocks under focus during Thursday's trading session include Bajaj Finance, Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers (GRSE), Meesho, Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC), ITC, and Tata Investment.

GIFT Nifty at 25,209

GIFT Nifty was recorded at 25,209, which is 6 points lower.

Brent Crude Prices Trade Off Lows

As mentioned earlier, Brent crude lost its daily gain on Thursday morning. Previously, oil prices rose by 1% after Iran announced its intention to maintain its nuclear material reserves, which is the main sticking point between Tehran and Washington. January futures traded on the Intercontinental Exchange at $91.93 per barrel, which is 0.77% lower.

Asian Markets Advance

Most Asia-Pacific markets showed gains at the start of trading on Thursday, aligning with overnight movements on Wall Street. The Nikkei 225 of Japan and the Kospi of South Korea increased by 0.72% and 0.67%, respectively. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng index fell by 1.27%.

Nasdaq 100 futures declined in the Asian session, supported by the 7% drop in Nvidia shares. The semiconductor company's stock fell after reports emerged that the board of directors might prepare to replace CEO Jensen Huang. Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 futures fell by 0.48% and 0.27%, respectively, while Dow Jones futures rose by 0.12%.

www.aajtak.inNovember 8, 11:55

Muhurat Trading Begins: Analysis of Stock Market Dynamics Over the Last 10 Years

Muhurat trading began today, with the Sensex and Nifty indices opening with a noticeable rise. Before trading commenced, the BSE Sensex surpassed the 81000 mark, showing a growth of over 2000 points, while the NSE Nifty crossed the 25000 level. At the market open, both indices were in the green zone, although the initial pre-session rise did not continue.

This day is considered special for the stock market as investors use it to purchase shares in hopes of good fortune. During the special session, which lasts only one hour, intense trading is observed. An analysis of the performance of Sensex and Nifty over the last ten years shows that in eight of those years, both indices closed with positive momentum, whereas in two sessions, there was a decline.

Muhurat trading is an established tradition for the market and has been conducted for decades during the Diwali festival for one hour. The practice of Muhurat trading exists on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) since 1957. As for the National Stock Exchange (NSE), its Nifty index started this practice in 1992 and has continued it continuously.

The Nifty-50 index demonstrated positive returns in eight of the last ten Muhurat trading sessions, while investors incurred losses twice. Declines occurred in 2016 (by 0.14%) and 2017 (by 0.63%). After that, in every Diwali session from 2018 to 2025, the index showed growth. In 2024, Nifty grew by 0.4%, and in 2023—by 0.5%; in the 2025 session, it increased by approximately 0.1%. The index showed the largest increase in 2022, when it rose by 1%. Previously, it increased by 0.5% in 2021, 0.47% in 2020, 0.37% in 2019, and 0.7% in 2018.

The BSE Sensex followed a similar trajectory: it also showed growth in eight of the last ten Muhurat trading sessions. In 2016, the index fell by 0.04%, and in 2017—by 0.59%, but in the other eight sessions, it showed a positive result. In 2025, Sensex grew by approximately 0.07% during the special trading session. Furthermore, in 2024, it increased by 0.42%, and in 2023—by 0.54%. The index reached its highest growth in 2022, increasing by 0.87%. Prior to that, it grew by 0.5% in 2021, 0.45% in 2020, 0.49% in 2019, and 0.7% in 2018.

Additionally, the Nifty Bank index also showed positive returns in eight of the last ten Muhurat trading sessions, falling by 0.11% in 2016 and 0.58% in 2017.