Climate experts from the Agricultural Research Council have cautioned North Cape farmers about the serious consequences of the El Niño phenomenon. The Department of Agriculture, Environmental Affairs, Rural Development and Land Reform of the Northern Cape organized an online webinar involving farmers, researchers, as well as agricultural and climate specialists to raise awareness and propose strategies for preparing for El Niño in the province.
Johan Malherbe, a senior researcher at the Agricultural Research Council (ARC), detailed the process of El Niño in South Africa, its impact on the Northern Cape, and the forecast from the International Institute of Climate and Society for the province.
Malherbe noted that South Africa typically experiences dry conditions during the summer period, especially from November to March. He emphasized that this covers the entire summer rainfall zone, and the Northern Cape is also frequently affected by negative consequences. According to him, there is a possibility of a 50–60% reduction in rainfall across most inland areas of the Northern Cape until January of the following year.
Sarah Roffe, a climatologist from ARC, presented the results of her drought research, stating that the last drought began in 2015. She stated that this is the longest drought, which lasted about 70 months in some areas, representing a long period of reduced rainfall that raises concerns about the impact on livestock and pastures.
Roffe also explained how the drought has affected vegetation patterns and pastures. She observed that the vegetation character in these areas is relatively stable, but with intensified drought conditions, the impact on vegetation, particularly pastures, becomes more severe.
Meanwhile, Gugulethu Zuma Netshiukwe, an agro-meteorologist and researcher at ARC, highlighted the importance of monitoring weather forecasts, growing seasons, early warnings of impending rainfall, and other long-term forecasts before making planting decisions.
She explained that such information will help farmers decide on crop or livestock breeds for a specific region, as well as choose the type of crop and planting date. Netshiukwe advised against planting everything at once, suggesting instead considering sequential or phased planting.
The expert also drew attention to the complex decisions faced by livestock farmers under El Niño conditions, such as shortages of feed and water. She stressed the critical importance of pasture management in parts of the Northern Cape. If it is not possible to maintain a large number of animals, it is recommended to sell some of the herd rather than keeping them. Netshiukwe warned that during heatwaves, animals can die from heatstroke, dehydration, parasites, and other diseases.

