S&P Global Ratings has affirmed the long-term credit rating of Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) at 'A-', citing sustained profitability, strong cash generation, and improved financing flexibility following the listing of its digital services subsidiary, Jio Platforms Ltd. The rating outlook remains stable.
The agency forecasts that Reliance Industries will be able to maintain above-industry-average growth in digital services while generating sufficient cash flow to cover increased capital expenditures and investments in new areas, including artificial intelligence infrastructure, data centers, and renewable energy.
Financial Performance Forecasts
According to the rating agency's statement, S&P predicts that RIL's consolidated EBITDA will grow by 19–23 percent, reaching between 2.15 trillion and 2.25 trillion rupees in the fiscal year ending March 2027 (FY27). Both the energy and digital services businesses are expected to contribute nearly 45 percent each to the group's total EBITDA.
Significant contribution to profit is anticipated from the Oil-to-Chemicals (O2C) business, whose EBITDA is projected to grow by 30–35 percent in FY27. This growth is likely to be supported by higher margins in integrated refining amid falling global crude oil prices and supply disruptions from the Middle East.
S&P noted that spreads for gasoline, diesel, and aviation fuel have increased by approximately threefold year-over-year in the quarter ending September 30, 2026. The agency expects RIL's O2C EBITDA per barrel to increase to approximately $18 in FY27 compared to nearly $14 in FY26. The company, in the agency's view, will maintain healthy operating utilization through its complex refining infrastructure and ability to source raw materials from a wide range of suppliers.
Digital Services Development and Financing
Digital services EBITDA is forecast to grow by 12–14 percent. This growth is driven by an increase in subscribers, higher average revenue per user (ARPU), and customers migrating to premium plans by Reliance Jio Infocomm Ltd amidst rising data consumption. S&P's base forecasts do not account for further increases in telecommunication tariffs.
S&P emphasized that Jio Platforms' listing diversified the group's funding sources and improved access to equity capital, especially given the increased investment in digital infrastructure. The initial public offering of new shares in Jio Platforms attracted about ₹30,000 crore of fresh capital, equivalent to approximately 9 percent of RIL's adjusted debt. This capital inflow is expected to have a moderately positive impact on the credit profile, bringing the group's adjusted debt/EBITDA ratio to approximately 1.6 times in FY27.
Financial Discipline and Future Plans
The rating agency expects RIL to maintain financial discipline despite increased investment needs. The company aims to keep the net reported debt/EBITDA ratio below 1.0 times, which, according to S&P, corresponds to an adjusted debt/EBITDA ratio of approximately 2.0 times under the agency's methodology. S&P forecasts that the adjusted ratio will remain in the range of 1.6 to 1.8 times until the end of FY28, supported by profit growth even with annual capital expenditures increasing to 1.4–1.5 trillion rupees from approximately 1 trillion rupees in FY26.
S&P identified AI infrastructure, data centers, and new energy as key areas for RIL's future expansion. The company announced investments in data centers as part of India's efforts to develop the AI ecosystem and also plans to build a new refinery in the US. However, S&P indicated that these plans are preliminary, although their ultimate scale could be significant.
The agency stated that it will assess the financial implications of joint ventures, including proposed data center investments through Digital Connexion, paying close attention to ownership structures, risk-sharing agreements, and potential financial obligations for RIL. S&P also noted that it may include joint venture debt in its assessment of RIL's leverage if the company is incentivized to provide financial support to an affiliated or joint venture during periods of financial difficulty.
The stable outlook reflects S&P's expectation that RIL will maintain strong market positions in key areas, increase cash generation, and manage high capital expenditures while keeping the adjusted debt/EBITDA ratio below two over the next 12–24 months. The rating could come under pressure if RIL deviates from its financial policy and begins aggressive debt-funded investments without corresponding profit growth. A downgrade is also possible if profits and cash flow deteriorate persistently, pushing the adjusted debt/EBITDA significantly above two without a plausible recovery path.
A rating upgrade would require greater scale and diversification alongside a more conservative financial policy across various business cycles. S&P noted that an improvement in the company's individual credit profile could be considered if its adjusted debt/EBITDA ratio falls and remains below 1.5 times. Significant contribution from the new energy business to the group's overall cash flow would also support such an upgrade.
S&P added that an upgrade of RIL's currency rating would also require an improvement in the assessment of India's transferability and convertibility, which currently stands at 'A-'. Thus, the agency's ability to raise the currency rating is linked both to the company's credit profile and the sovereign assessment.



