IndiGo reviews fuel hedging policy amid rising aviation fuel prices
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IndiGo reviews fuel hedging policy amid rising aviation fuel prices

Due to the rise in aviation fuel prices, caused by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and the expansion of long-haul flights, IndiGo CEO William Walsh announced the start of a comprehensive analysis of the company's current fuel hedging policy.

During a press conference on Monday, Walsh told reporters that the airline's management discussed the hedging issue with the board of directors and will conduct a 'comprehensive review' before making a final decision. Historically, IndiGo has avoided using fuel hedging—a financial instrument that allows for locking in fuel prices in advance to protect against sudden cost increases.

Previously, former IndiGo CEO Ronodjoy Dutta called hedging a 'foolish idea' during an investor call in June 2020. He argued that the company was too naive to understand the commodity market and that attempting to hedge against experienced players like Goldman Sachs would lead to losses.

Fuel typically accounts for about 40 percent of the Indian airline's total operating expenses. In the second quarter of the 2026-27 fiscal year, IndiGo recorded a consolidated net loss of 1,879 crore rupees. During this quarter, fuel costs sharply increased by 67.2 percent compared to the previous year, reaching 9,967 crore rupees, which significantly impacted profitability.

Walsh emphasized that the decision on hedging is complex, especially since there are no hedged airlines in the Indian domestic segment. He noted that hedging is aimed at risk management and ensuring stability, not speculating on future fuel prices. Nevertheless, the planned expansion of long-haul services provided an opportunity to review the policy, as many international competitors hedge a significant portion of their fuel needs.

Walsh clarified that the company is not currently hedging fuel and does not plan to do so until the comprehensive review is complete. The high aviation fuel prices are due to an unusually high premium charged by refineries for converting crude oil into Jet Fuel (ATF). This difference between crude oil prices and refined products is known as the 'refining spread.' The historical average spread for ATF from 2000 to 2025 was around 22 percent, but it has now reached approximately 65 percent.

He explained this situation by stating that although crude oil prices have not reached historic highs, the ATF refining margin has become exceptionally high. Walsh linked this to disruptions in global refining capacity, particularly in Europe and the Middle East, which affected ATF availability. He expects ATF prices to remain high in the near term but is optimistic about a quick reduction in the spread as refining capacities recover.

IndiGo is holding constructive talks with the government about possible measures to stabilize fuel price volatility. When discussing the impact of tariff increases on passenger demand, Walsh admitted that people prefer lower prices, but the company must maintain financial sustainability. The airline covers a significant part of the increase in fuel costs but has also raised fares to offset additional expenses.

In terms of development plans, IndiGo expects to receive its first Airbus A350-900 aircraft in the second quarter of 2028. The first ten such aircraft will be equipped with sixteen lie-flat seats in business class, as well as premium economy and economy cabins. The company is considering increasing the number of lie-flat seats in subsequent A350-900 aircraft in response to growing demand for premium travel. Currently, four Airbus A321XLR aircraft are in operation, and their number is expected to increase to seven by March of next year. These aircraft are used for flights to Athens and Amsterdam, and possibilities in Asia and Europe are being considered.

Regarding the relocation of some operations to Navi Mumbai airport, Walsh stated that the company is unconcerned by the opinions of other international airlines. He views Navi Mumbai as a long-term opportunity, assessing its needs over a five, ten, and fifteen-year horizon, rather than just as a temporary alternative during the reconstruction of Mumbai Airport Terminal 1. He also reiterated concerns about excessively high airport charges in India, arguing that the market could thrive with lower taxes.

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Автомобильная ассоциация поддержала план отмены топливных сборов и предложила пересмотреть модель финансирования
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The Automobile Association (AA) has expressed support for the proposal put forward by Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana regarding the phasing out of fuel levies. Concurrently, the AA advocates for a public examination of the fundamental fuel price calculation method and the establishment of a new financial structure for the Road Accident Fund (RAF).

These recommendations come after Godongwana commented during a recent appearance on 702, noting that the standard fuel levy generates roughly R80 billion in income and that the administration must devise a strategy to eliminate it. He also suggested implementing a novel insurance framework for the RAF that would no longer depend on the levy.

Bobby Ramagwede, the CEO of the AA, stated that this was a "long overdue and welcome call." He emphasized that fuel taxes impact all individuals who travel, including taxi commuters, businesses utilizing fleets, and workers traveling to their jobs.

The AA detailed that the total charge per litre of petrol amounts to R6.58, comprising the general fuel levy of R4.29, the RAF levy of R2.25, and two supplementary duties. At the high inland price of R30.25 per litre for 95-octane unleaded petrol in October, these specific charges constituted over a fifth of the pump price. For instance, a driver filling a 50-litre tank incurs approximately R329 in levies, while a company managing 100 petrol vehicles, each refueling weekly, could face annual costs nearing R1.7 million.

The association contended that this tax burden negatively affects both households and businesses, asserting that fuel pricing requires scrutiny beyond short-term governmental measures. This latest proposed relief follows a second series of temporary fuel levy reductions announced within the Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement on October 21.

Effective from November 4, the general fuel levy will see a reduction of R1.50 per litre for petrol and R3 per litre for diesel until December 1. These decreases will subsequently be lowered to R1 per litre for petrol and R1.50 for diesel until January 5, 2027. The government plans to finance this relief by reallocating R10 billion that was previously moved to the Central Energy Fund.

Despite this, the AA cautioned that these temporary cuts offer limited predictability for both consumers and companies, especially since the reductions are scheduled to be scaled back during the December holidays before expiring in January. Furthermore, the AA urged for a public review of the basic fuel price formula, which dictates the largest element of the price paid at gas stations. This formula accounts for the estimated cost of acquiring fuel on global markets and transporting it into South Africa, and it is managed by the Department of Mineral and Petroleum Resources.

Ramagwede insisted that "the government should remove the levies the minister has named, and review the basic fuel price formula in public," adding, "I still think there is room for efficiency at the basic fuel price level. A public review is how we find it."

Godongwana has recognized that eliminating the general fuel levy would create an estimated revenue deficit of R80 billion, prompting discussion about how this gap will be covered. Ramagwede countered that the government's focus should be on how public money is spent and distributed, rather than primarily on collecting revenue. He stated, "I have long held the view that the problem is not revenue collection. It is expense management and budget allocation," concluding that "Our fiscus is porous. That needs to be fixed if we want interventions like this one to succeed."

Moreover, the AA called for a fundamental shift in the RAF funding mechanism, proposing that enhancements in road safety and mandatory third-party motor insurance could offer a more durable substitute for the current levy system. The RAF levy currently covers compensation for individuals injured in traffic accidents and the families of those who perish. While Godongwana noted that removing the levy alone would significantly lower fuel prices, Ramagwede argued that the government must tackle the root causes of road incidents—including poor driver conduct, declining infrastructure, and unsafe vehicles—to lessen the number of claims the fund must process.

He asserted, "We do not need a central fund to cater for road injuries. We need to deal with the root causes: poor road user behaviour, decaying infrastructure and questionable vehicles." He further suggested that compulsory third-party motor insurance, common in many advanced economies, ought to replace the present levy-based funding model for the RAF.

In summary, the AA is urging the government to abolish the general and RAF levies, conduct a public review of the basic fuel price formula, enhance public expenditure and allocation, bolster road upkeep and vehicle safety, and implement compulsory third-party motor insurance. Ramagwede concluded by stating, "Every levy on a litre of fuel is a choice somebody made, and the cost lands on the person who can least carry it. I am not asking the government to be generous. I am asking it to be accurate about who is paying."

Automobile association calls on government to scrap fuel levies and review fuel pricing formula
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iol.co.za

Automobile association calls on government to scrap fuel levies and review fuel pricing formula

The Automobile Association (AA) has supported Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana's proposal for the phased removal of fuel levies, while simultaneously insisting on a public review of the basic fuel price formula and the development of a new funding model for the Road Accident Fund (RAF).

These calls came after Godongwana's comments in a recent interview on 702, where he noted that the total fuel levy generates approximately 80 billion rand in revenue, and the government needs to find a way to gradually abolish it. He also proposed a new insurance model for the RAF that would not depend on this levy.

AA CEO, Bobby Ramagwede, described the call as 'long-awaited and welcome,' emphasizing that fuel taxes affect all road users: taxi drivers, fleet companies, and commuters.

AA reported that the total fuel levies amount to 4.29 rand per litre, the RAF levy is 2.25 rand, and two additional taxes add another 6.58 rand to every litre of petrol. At a record internal price of 30.25 rand per litre for 95 octane petrol, these levies accounted for more than one-fifth of the retail pump price.

Approximately 329 rand in levies applies to filling a 50-litre tank, whereas a company operating 100 petrol vehicles refuelling weekly could pay around 1.7 million rand annually.

The association argued that the tax burden impacts households, passengers, and businesses, and insisted that fuel prices should be analyzed more broadly than temporary government interventions.

The latest proposed relief followed a second round of temporary fuel levy reductions announced in the Mid-Term Budget Policy Statement on October 21. From November 4, the total fuel levy will be reduced by 1.50 rand per litre for petrol and 3 rand per litre for diesel until December 1. Then, the reductions will decrease to 1 rand per litre for petrol and 1.50 rand for diesel until January 5, 2027. The government will cover this relief by returning 10 billion rand previously transferred to the Central Energy Fund.

However, AA warned that temporary cuts offer limited certainty to consumers and businesses, especially since they will be reduced during the holiday season before expiring in January.

The association also demanded a public review of the basic fuel price formula, which determines the largest component of the price paid by drivers at service stations. This formula reflects the estimated cost of purchasing fuel on international markets and its transportation to South Africa, and it is set by the Department of Mineral Resources and Energy.

Bobby Ramagwede stated that 'the government must scrap the minister's named levies and conduct a public review of the basic fuel price formula.' He added: 'I still believe there is potential for efficiency gains at the basic fuel price level. A public review will help us find that out.'

Godongwana acknowledged that abolishing the total fuel levy would result in a government revenue deficit of approximately 80 billion rand, raising questions about how this gap will be covered. Ramagwede countered that the government should focus on how public funds are spent and distributed, rather than relying predominantly on revenue collection. He said: 'I have long maintained that the problem is not revenue collection. It is in expenditure management and budget allocation. Our fiscal apparatus is porous. That needs fixing if we want interventions like this to succeed.'

AA also called for a fundamental change in the RAF funding model, arguing that improved road safety and mandatory third-party insurance could be a more sustainable alternative to the existing levy. Currently, the RAF levy funds compensation for victims of road traffic accidents and bereaved families. Godongwana noted that abolishing the levy itself would lead to a significant reduction in fuel prices.

However, Ramagwede insisted that the government must address the root causes of road accidents, including poor road user behaviour, deteriorating infrastructure, and unsafe vehicles, to reduce the number of claims the fund must cover. He stressed: 'We do not need a central fund to cover road injuries. We need to address the root causes: poor road user behaviour, aging infrastructure, and questionable vehicles.'

He concluded that implementing mandatory third-party insurance, used in many developed economies, should replace the current RAF levy-based funding model.

Ultimately, AA calls on the government to scrap the general and RAF levies, publicly review the basic fuel price formula, improve public spending and fund allocation, strengthen road maintenance and vehicle safety, and introduce mandatory third-party insurance. Ramagwede concluded: 'Every levy per litre of fuel is a choice made by someone, and the cost falls on those who can least afford it. I am not asking the government to be generous. I am asking it to be accurate about who pays.'

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