In Dubai's residential sector, the share of cash purchases is growing amid rising interest rates. Nevertheless, a significant portion of transactions continues to be financed through mortgage loans, highlighting the sustained importance of bank lending to the market.
According to data from the brokerage company Betterhomes, in the third quarter of 2026, cash purchases accounted for 44 percent of the residential sales volume, up from 36 percent in the second quarter. Consequently, the share of mortgage-funded purchases decreased to 56 percent in the third quarter, compared to 64 percent in the second quarter, although it remained above the 50 percent recorded in the first quarter.
The increase in the number of buyers paying in cash occurred after the UAE Central Bank decided to raise the Base Rate from 3.65 percent to 3.90 percent, effective September 17. Betterhomes notes that the growing share of cash buyers indicates a large pool of buyers capable of closing deals without relying on bank financing, which lends some stability to the market against the backdrop of rising borrowing costs.
Despite this, mortgages remain an important source of funds for real estate acquisition. Lomond, a mortgage consultant mentioned in the report, stated that demand from lenders remains healthy among both locals and non-residents, as banks continue to compete for new clients, especially in refinancing and mortgage buy-out cases.
The adjustment by the UAE Central Bank occurred against the backdrop of changes in US monetary policy. The US Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points in September 2026, setting the target range at 3.75–4 percent. Since the UAE dirham is pegged to the US dollar, domestic borrowing costs are subject to fluctuations in US interest rates, with Eibor typically reacting to changes in monetary policy.
The Central Bank subsequently left its Base Rate unchanged on October 28. Betterhomes does not anticipate significant changes in standard fixed-rate mortgage products, although minor adjustments are forecast for the fourth quarter. A more immediate consequence may be a reduction in buyers' creditworthiness rather than an actual change in mortgage interest rates.
Banks are likely to increase the stress-testing rates used to assess mortgage eligibility. This could reduce the amount buyers can borrow, even if the mortgage interest rate itself does not change significantly. According to Betterhomes, buyers who have not reached the final offer stage by the end of October may receive revised mortgage offers.



