Weather conditions across the country will begin to change again. While the monsoon season is concluding in some regions, the northeast monsoon is preparing to start. At the same time, a Western Disturbance has begun to affect the weather in North India. Its impact threatens rain, strong winds, and hail in several states of North India, including Delhi-NCR. Furthermore, a period of heavy rains may begin in South India from October 15th.
According to the Meteorological Department (IMD), Thursday will bring predicted rain with thunderstorms in many parts of the country. According to the IMD forecast for October 15th, strong winds with rain are expected in the plains of Northwest India. On the other hand, a warning has been issued for heavy and very heavy rainfall in Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal, Kerala, and Mahé. Heavy rains are also possible in some areas of coastal Andhra Pradesh and South Interior Karnataka. Thus, variable weather conditions can be expected in different parts of the country over the next few days.
The withdrawal of the southwest monsoon from the country continues. According to the meteorological department, on October 14th, the monsoon withdrawal line passed through Dhubri, Calcutta, Angul, Hammam, and Honavar. Conditions are becoming favorable for the further withdrawal of the monsoon from other regions. The southwest monsoon usually brings rain to most regions of the country from June to September. With the weakening and withdrawal of this monsoon, the northeast monsoon will become active in South India. During these changes, various weather phenomena may be observed simultaneously in different parts of the country.
In North India, weather changes continue under the influence of the Western Disturbance. In Delhi-NCR, after brief rains on October 14th, rain is forecasted in many areas on October 15th. The meteorological department reports that heavy or very heavy rain is possible in some places in Delhi, Haryana, Chandigarh, and Punjab. Additionally, there is a possibility of rain in several districts of Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, West Uttar Pradesh, and East Rajasthan.
Rain with hail can cause problems for the public. Hailfall is forecasted in some places in Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Punjab, Uttarakhand, West Uttar Pradesh, and East Rajasthan. There is also a threat of lightning during thunderstorms in these areas. The meteorological department has also warned of strong winds. In Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Punjab, and Uttarakhand, wind speeds may reach 40-50 kilometers per hour.
There is a possibility of wind gusts reaching 60 kilometers per hour. Winds of 30-40 kilometers per hour are expected in some areas of West Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan. Rain and lightning are also forecasted in Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh, and East Uttar Pradesh.
While the Western Disturbance influences North India, the northeast monsoon is activating in South India. According to the meteorological department, the onset of northeast monsoon rains is expected on the southern peninsula from October 15th. Along with this, heavy and very heavy rains are possible in some parts of Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal, Kerala, and Mahé. Heavy rains are also forecasted in some places in coastal Andhra Pradesh and South Interior Karnataka. There is a risk of lightning during thunderstorms in Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal, Kerala, and Mahé.
Strong winds of 40-50 kilometers per hour may also blow in these regions. Rain with gusty winds is also expected in some interior areas of Telangana and Karnataka. The northeast monsoon is particularly important for South India. Most of the rain falling in Tamil Nadu and surrounding areas after the end of the main southwest monsoon period is attributed to this monsoon. Therefore, its activation can intensify the rainy regime in southern states.
The weather impact will not be limited to North and South India only. Rain with thunderstorms and strong winds are also expected in several states of Central and Eastern India. According to the meteorological department, winds of 30-40 kilometers per hour are expected in some areas of Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Vidarbha, and West Madhya Pradesh. Light or moderate rain and lightning are possible at this time.
Short-term rain with thunderstorms is also possible in parts of Konkan, Goa, and Central Maharashtra. Coastal areas of Karnataka and Konkan-Goa may face heat and humidity causing discomfort. Weather in coastal zones may remain varied amidst rains and strong winds. Currently, the meteorological department has not issued warnings against fishermen going out to sea.
