UAE launches six-year plan to protect residents from heat, dust, and poor air quality
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Khaleej Times
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UAE launches six-year plan to protect residents from heat, dust, and poor air quality

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has introduced a national six-year plan aimed at protecting the population from the negative consequences of rising temperatures, humidity, dust storms, deteriorating air quality, and extreme weather conditions.

The plan, titled 'Healthcare Sector Adaptation Plan to Climate Change' and covering the period from 2026 to 2031, will focus on implementing early warning systems, strengthening disease monitoring, and ensuring the uninterrupted operation of hospitals and vital medical services during climate shocks.

This plan was announced by the Ministry of Health and Prevention (MoHAP) during the Future Health Summit in Abu Dhabi. It outlines six priority areas in healthcare: heat-related illnesses; cardiovascular and respiratory diseases; vector-borne diseases; water and foodborne diseases; and mental health.

Hot and humid conditions can increase the risk of heat exhaustion and heatstroke, as well as place additional strain on individuals with heart problems. Dust storms and poor air can trigger asthma attacks and exacerbate respiratory ailments, especially among the elderly, children, and those with pre-existing conditions.

Furthermore, the plan addresses the impact of changing weather on mosquito-borne diseases, as well as on food and water safety. Extreme weather events can disrupt access to medicines, medical supplies, and hospitals, and the disruption itself can negatively affect people's psychological state.

Minister of Health and Prevention Ahmed Ali Al Saegh emphasized that protecting people and their quality of life is a central element of the UAE's healthcare system, guided by leadership directives. He noted that as the climate changes, so do the health risks, and the responsibility lies in forecasting these threats to protect communities before people fall ill.

Instead of waiting for risks to escalate into emergencies, the plan aims to help authorities identify warning signs and take action in a timely manner before more people are affected. This includes developing heat and air quality alert systems that will allow residents to take necessary precautions before prolonged exposure leads to illness.

Surveillance of climate-dependent diseases will also be strengthened, and data on health and environment will be integrated to identify evolving risks. For healthcare workers, the plan emphasizes emergency preparedness, resilience of medicine supply chains, and coordinated response plans to ensure access to emergency care even when extreme weather affects transport, facilities, or demand for treatment.

Hussein Al Rand, Assistant to the Deputy Minister for Public Health Sector at MoHAP, stated that the plan will transform climate risk assessments into practical healthcare measures. These measures include developing medical professionals' skills, expanding specialized research, improving emergency preparedness, and enhancing the resilience of medical institutions.

He added that the next phase will focus on coordination between relevant bodies and implementing priorities based on accurate indicators, which will help guarantee service continuity, protect the most vulnerable populations against climate impacts, and improve the efficiency of the healthcare system nationwide.

The development of the plan was conducted in collaboration with the Ministry of Climate Change and Environment, health authorities, and specialized partners. It aligns with the UAE National Adaptation Plan to Climate Change and supports the country's commitments under the UAE Declaration on Climate and Health at COP28.

MoHAP specified that the primary focus will be on severe heat, air quality, early warning systems, and maintaining essential medical services. The Ministry stated that success will be measured not only by how quickly healthcare services respond in a crisis but also by how effectively diseases and disruptions are prevented before they reach the community.

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UAE Expert Predicts Above-Average Temperatures and Increased Rainfall
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UAE Expert Predicts Above-Average Temperatures and Increased Rainfall

According to Ibrahim Al Jarwan, Chairman of the Emirates Astronomy Society, temperatures across the UAE are running 3–4 degrees Celsius above the seasonal norm. Although autumn has started relatively dry, precipitation exceeding average levels is expected.

Speaking on Dubai Radio, Al Jarwan noted that residents continue to experience warmer than usual conditions, despite the general improvement in weather as the country transitions into cooler months.

He linked the current weather conditions to the El Niño phenomenon, a natural climatic event associated with warming in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, and suggested that this phenomenon will intensify in October, November, and early December. Furthermore, rainfall above the average level is anticipated.

Al Jarwan reported that during the first week of October, daytime highs typically reach the mid-thirties Celsius, while nighttime lows fluctuate around 22–23°C. However, he mentioned that recent maximum temperatures in most parts of the country have ranged from 37°C to 43°C, citing reports from the National Center for Meteorology (NCM).

The persistent warmth aligns with the relatively dry autumn conditions he previously predicted. High humidity during this time of year is not unusual; it can exceed 80% in coastal areas and over 70% inland, contributing to morning fog formation.

Al Jarwan explained that fog is characteristic of October and November, occurring for more than ten days in each month. He emphasized that while fog and high humidity are natural phenomena, temperatures remain above average.

Explaining this phenomenon, Al Jarwan noted that temperature changes in the Pacific Ocean can influence weather patterns far beyond the ocean itself. He connected El Niño to increased rainfall in several regions worldwide, including the Arabian Peninsula, but stressed that its impact varies depending on the location.

A stronger episode may be accompanied by more pronounced weather extremes, ranging from drought in some regions to heavy rains or storms in others. He emphasized that El Niño is part of a natural climate cycle, not an environmental problem comparable to ozone depletion.

When Will Conditions Become More Moderate?

Al Jarwan added that as the UAE progresses through the autumn transition period, temperatures are expected to become more moderate. He referred to the local traditional calendar, stating that the country is in the period of 'Durr al-Sittin' and will approach 'Durr al-Sab'in' around mid-October—a time of milder weather before winter, which differs from the period of severe cold in the northern Arabian Peninsula.

Increased cooling may lead to strong winds and rain-bearing systems, although the seasonal wind event he mentioned has not yet occurred.

Previously, in an interview with Khaleej Times, NCM expert Dr. Ahmed Habib had predicted a hotter summer in the UAE compared to previous years. Habib linked the overall regional warming to El Niño but insisted that actual temperatures would depend on the weather systems affecting the country at any given time.

He also explained that the thermal minimum associated with the Indian monsoon system directed hot air towards the southern parts of the UAE, leading to daytime temperatures of 47–48°C at that time. Habib noted that northwesterly winds carrying dry desert air limited cloud formation and rainfall. He added that the main rainy season in the UAE usually occurs from mid-July to mid-August, when the shift of the tropical convergence zone northward allows moisture to reach the country and supports the development of rain clouds, especially in eastern areas and sometimes around Liwa.

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