IMF and EBRD urge Uzbekistan to consider the growth of state enterprise borrowings
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IMF and EBRD urge Uzbekistan to consider the growth of state enterprise borrowings

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) recommended that Uzbekistan strengthen corporate governance in state-owned enterprises as they increasingly attract foreign financing. The IMF's Resident Representative in Uzbekistan, Koba Gvenetadze, made this recommendation on September 30 at an event organized by the American Chamber of Commerce in Uzbekistan (AmCham).

A representative of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) at the same event drew attention to the increase in quasi-sovereign debt that is not reflected in the state budget. This debt could potentially become state debt.

The IMF advises reducing the number of state-owned enterprises, but Gvenetadze acknowledged that such a change will not happen instantly. He emphasized that state companies will continue to exist, but they need to be managed effectively. The demands for efficiency are increasing because state companies have become more active in borrowing funds abroad and issuing bonds.

The obligations of these companies are contingent liabilities for the state: as long as the project is successful, the debt remains on the company's balance sheet, but if the project does not meet expectations, responsibility may transfer to the state, increasing the national debt.

According to the IMF representative, the government has already implemented a system of comprehensive analysis of such loans, which has increased the Fund's confidence that the authorities are aware of the commitments they are making.

Asel Aitkhozhina, EBRD's lead regional specialist for Central Asia and Mongolia, noted that the share of state-guaranteed debt in Uzbekistan is decreasing, while quasi-sovereign debt is growing. This includes loans from state-participating companies that do not have a direct state guarantee.

In neighboring Kazakhstan, the growth of such debt has already caused concerns. In her opinion, this debt should be taken into account even if the government is not formally responsible for it.

To minimize risks, the IMF recommends adopting a clear policy on state ownership, ensuring transparent operation of supervisory boards, and bringing the reporting of state enterprises in line with international standards. Andrey Aranitas, Director and Head of the EBRD office in Uzbekistan, also called for reducing the role of the state, strengthening competition, and improving governance conditions for the country's next stage of development.

Sherzod Akбаров, Senior Economist at ADB in Uzbekistan, stressed that the reform of state enterprises is closely linked to privatization. An example of this approach is the National Investment Fund (UzNIF), which, as previously reported by UzDaily, consolidates stakes in 13 strategic state-owned enterprises and was created to implement international corporate governance standards. In May, part of the fund's shares were listed on the stock exchanges of London and Tashkent.

Gvenetadze identified the pace of state sector reduction as one of two main problems of the Uzbek economy. He stated that transferring the role of the growth engine to the private sector is important for ensuring Uzbekistan's sustainable development, noting that with a rapidly growing population, private business must take responsibility for creating new jobs.

Contingent liabilities are debts that can become the state's responsibility under certain conditions, for example, if a state company cannot service a loan. Quasi-sovereign debt, conversely, does not have a direct state guarantee, but international institutions also view it as a potential burden on the budget.

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Uzbekistan's external debt for the first half of 2026 exceeded $84 billion
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Uzbekistan's external debt for the first half of 2026 exceeded $84 billion

According to the Central Bank, Uzbekistan's total external debt as of the end of the first half of 2026 reached $84.1 billion. Over the past year, this indicator showed an increase of $11.9 billion, which is an increase of 16.5%.

At the beginning of July, the state external debt amounted to $41.7 billion, while corporate debt was estimated at $42.4 billion. Compared to the previous year, the total debt level was at $72.2 billion. During this period, state debt increased by $4.9 billion, and corporate debt increased by $7 billion.

The Central Bank specified that the corporate external debt includes loans from the private sector that do not have state guarantees. In this case, the state is not responsible for such obligations; payments are made by the enterprises and banks themselves.

The regulator also refers to the International Monetary Fund's assessment, which notes that Uzbekistan's debt burden remains low, and most of the attracted funds were obtained on favorable, preferential terms.

It was previously reported that at the end of the second quarter of 2026, Uzbekistan's state debt reached $48.3 billion. Of this amount, $40.7 billion was due to external obligations, and the remaining $7.6 billion was domestic.

Uzbekistan's external debt reached $84.1 billion by July
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Uzbekistan's external debt reached $84.1 billion by July

According to the Central Bank's review of the balance of payments, international investment positions, and external debt, Uzbekistan's total external debt increased by $1.9 billion between January and June 2026, reaching $84.1 billion as of July 1.

In the first half of the year, trends from previous periods persisted in the external sector, driven by growth in goods exports (excluding gold and services), an increase in international remittances, and continued inflow of foreign investments.

Tashkent, Uzbekistan

The current account deficit for the first half of the year amounted to about $6.2 billion. This exceeds the figure for the first quarter, which was $5.79 billion, indicating an increase in the deficit by approximately $410 million in the second quarter.

The main factor remained the negative trade balance, which reached $13.4 billion in January-June, compared to $8.3 billion in January-March.

Total exports for the first half of the year were $15.4 billion, which is 8.6% less than in the same period last year. In the second quarter, exports reached about $9.8 billion, while in the first quarter they were $5.6 billion. The year-on-year decrease was mainly due to reduced gold sales; however, exports of goods excluding gold grew by 27%, and service exports grew by 45%.

Meanwhile, imports continued to rise, increasing by 24% over the first six months to $28.8 billion. In the second quarter, imports reached approximately $14.9 billion compared to $13.9 billion in January-March. The main categories of imports were machinery and equipment, vehicles, chemical and mineral products, and food products.

The trade deficit was partially offset by positive primary and secondary income balances. Their balances for the first half of the year were $1.9 billion and $5.3 billion, respectively. In the first quarter, secondary income showed a positive balance of $2.5 billion, while primary income recorded a deficit of $43 million.

The current account deficit was financed by operations with direct, portfolio, and other investments, as well as other sources.

Net inflows of foreign direct investment for the first half of the year amounted to $2.3 billion, with about $1.6 billion received in the second quarter. Net inflows of portfolio investments reached approximately $2 billion compared to $4.1 million in the first quarter. Other investments recorded a net inflow of about $1.5 billion, of which about $400 million came in the second quarter. As a result, the financial account deficit increased from $5 billion in the first quarter to $7.5 billion for the first half of the year.

The country's international investment position also changed. In the second quarter, Uzbekistan's net international investment position decreased by $8.3 billion, falling from $21.6 billion as of April 1 to $13.3 billion as of July 1. Overall, the decline since the beginning of the year was 34%.

Residents' external assets decreased by $1.1 billion in the first half of the year, whereas in the first quarter they increased by $2.6 billion. Thus, the decrease in the second quarter was about $3.7 billion. Asset dynamics were influenced by lower global gold prices, which led to a reduction in international reserves by $2.5 billion. Simultaneously, assets related to direct and other investments increased by $1.4 billion.

Residents' external liabilities increased by $5.8 billion in January-June. The growth in the first quarter was $534 million, and in the second quarter—about $5.3 billion.

As of July 1, Uzbekistan's government external debt stood at $41.7 billion compared to $40.5 billion as of April 1. Corporate external debt during the same period grew from $41.7 billion to $42.4 billion. In total, the country's external debt reached $84.1 billion, higher than the $82.2 billion recorded in the previous quarter.

The Central Bank clarified that the corporate part of external debt includes private sector borrowings without state guarantees, and the government does not bear obligations for such borrowing, which is repaid using the companies' and banks' own funds.

Meanwhile, an International Monetary Fund statement noted Uzbekistan's low debt burden, emphasizing that a significant portion of the country's external loans was attracted on favorable terms.

Uzbekistan expands financial support for the agricultural sector
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uzdaily.uz

Uzbekistan expands financial support for the agricultural sector

Uzbekistan is adopting new measures to strengthen financial support for the agricultural sector. President Shavkat Mirziyoyev approved the relevant decree, which aims to increase the efficiency of financial assistance and improve the risk management system.

The new document provides for the provision of several subsidies for agricultural enterprises. For example, a subsidy of 500,000 soms will be paid for every ton of raw cotton harvested in 2026 (excluding fourth and fifth-grade cotton).

Additionally, cotton-textile clusters and enterprises created by them will receive 1.5 million soms for each hectare of land allocated for cotton cultivation in 2026.

Livestock farms will receive an annual subsidy of 500,000 soms per hectare of sown area where fodder crops are grown on main cultivated territories from 2027 to 2029.

The basis for making payments will be the conclusion of the Space Technology Research Agency. Also, from October 1, 2026, to June 1, 2027, entrepreneurs will be able to receive 2,500 soms per kilogram of imported chilled beef and lamb.

A pilot legal experiment is planned from January 1, 2027, to January 1, 2028, aimed at introducing a mechanism for subsidizing part of the expenses of agricultural producers for using water-saving irrigation technologies.

Payments will be made on a 'Results-based Subsidy' principle. The amount of such a subsidy will be determined based on the recipient's costs, as well as crop yield indicators, product quality, and other efficiency criteria.

The decree also introduces changes to the agricultural insurance system. Farms that have not had insurance claims for three consecutive years will be granted a discount on the insurance premium from 10% to 20% starting from the fourth year.

Simultaneously, 3% to 5% of insurance premiums will be directed to a reserve fund to finance preventive measures.

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