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Weather in India: Western disturbances and low pressure will bring heavy rains to several states from October 2 to 7
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Weather in India: Western disturbances and low pressure will bring heavy rains to several states from October 2 to 7

In early October, the weather in many regions of the country may change: rain, thunderstorms, and strong winds are expected. The withdrawal line of the southwest monsoon passes through Gurdaspur, Chandigarh, Muzaffarnagar, Aligarh, Dauhampur, Udaipur, Disa, and Naliya.

According to meteorological service forecasts, favorable conditions for the monsoon's withdrawal are expected in parts of Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, and remaining areas of Uttar Pradesh over the next two to three days, as well as in most parts of Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh, the entire Western Himalayan region, Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, and some parts of Maharashtra.

A low-pressure area formed over Mizoram and the northeastern Bay of Bengal weakened on October 1 and turned into a low-pressure area. Associated cyclonic circulation extends to an average height of 7.6 kilometers above sea level and tilts southward with increasing altitude. It is expected to remain in this area for the next 24 hours. A cyclonic circulation has formed over the northern coast of Tamil Nadu and adjacent areas at an altitude of 1.5 kilometers above sea level.

There is a trough line in North India extending north-south, from South Inner Karnataka to the Mannar Gulf, at an altitude of about 0.9 kilometers. The western disturbance is active in the form of cyclonic circulation over northern Haryana and adjacent areas at an altitude of 3.1 to 5.8 kilometers. Additionally, cyclonic circulations are observed in the upper layers of the atmosphere over northeastern Assam and Bihar adjoining southeastern Uttar Pradesh. These weather systems may affect the states of North, Central, South, East, and Northeast India.

According to the Meteorological Department (IMD), rainfall is expected to continue in many states of South, Northeast, and East India from October 2 to 7, with heavy and very heavy precipitation possible in some places. At the same time, rain is forecasted in some states of North India towards the end of the week.

Rain is possible in several states of North India towards the end of the week. In Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh, rain is possible in some places on October 6 and 7. Rain is expected in Himachal Pradesh from October 5 to 7, along with the possibility of thunderstorms and lightning on October 6 and 7. In Uttarakhand, rain is forecasted from October 5 to 7, with thunderstorms and lightning likely on October 6 and 7. In Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, and Delhi, rain is possible in isolated areas on October 6 and 7.

Rain is expected in Eastern Madhya Pradesh on October 2-3. Rain is possible in some places in Chhattisgarh from October 2 to 7. Rain is forecast in Central Maharashtra and Goa from October 2 to 7. Rain is possible in some places in the Gujarat region on October 2.

Increased rainfall activity is expected in the states of South India in the first half of October. Rain is possible in Kerala from October 2 to 7; very heavy rain is forecast in some areas on October 2, and heavy rains from October 4 to 6. On October 12, thunderstorms, lightning, and strong winds of 40-50 km/h, with gusts up to 60 km/h, are expected.

Karnataka may also experience a period of rain. Rain is possible in North Inner Karnataka from October 2 to 7, South Inner Karnataka from October 2 to 7, and Coastal Karnataka from October 3 to 7. Rain is expected in some places in Coastal Karnataka on October 2. Rain is possible in South Inner Karnataka on October 2, and heavy rains on October 2 and 5. Rain is expected in Tamil Nadu and Puducherry from October 2 to 7, with heavy rain forecasted on October 2. Thunderstorms, lightning, and winds of 40-50 km/h, with gusts up to 60 km/h, are also possible in these places on October 2. Rain is also expected in coastal Andhra Pradesh and Rayalaseema from October 2 to 7. In these areas, thunderstorms, lightning, and strong winds of 40-50 km/h, with gusts up to 60 km/h, as well as strong surface winds, are possible from October 2 to 5.

Rain is forecasted in Telangana on October 2 and 3. Rain is expected in Lakshadweep from October 2 to 7, with thunderstorms and strong winds on October 2.

Rain is possible in all seven states of Northeast India—Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura—from October 2 to 7. In Arunachal Pradesh, thunderstorms and lightning, as well as heavy rains, are expected on these two days on October 2.

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Deep depression center formed in the Bay of Bengal: Warning of heavy rainfall in 10 states, including Uttar Pradesh and Bihar
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Deep depression center formed in the Bay of Bengal: Warning of heavy rainfall in 10 states, including Uttar Pradesh and Bihar

The influence of the deep depression center that has formed in the Bay of Bengal may lead to increased rainfall in many states of Eastern and Central India. The Meteorological Department (IMD) issued a warning for heavy and very heavy rainfall for regions such as Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Orissa, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, and Vidarbha on September 25.

In addition to rain, there is a warning for thunderstorms and strong winds in several places. Wind speeds in some areas may reach 70 kilometers per hour. Localized rains are expected on September 25 in several parts of the country's capital Delhi, as well as in Haryana and Chandigarh. According to the meteorological department, this rainfall impact may persist until September 29, accompanied by cloudiness, light and moderate rains, and thunderstorms.

The influence of the weather system that originated in the Bay of Bengal is being felt in Uttar Pradesh, especially in the eastern districts of the state. Heavy rains occurred in Purvanchal districts on September 24. IMD forecasts very heavy rains in eastern Uttar Pradesh on September 25 and 26. Strong surface winds may also blow in many parts of Uttar Pradesh, which could cause sudden weather changes and lightning strikes.

The situation of heavy rain, storm, and thunderstorms may develop in cities such as Varanasi, Gorakhpur, Prayagraj, Ayodhya, Jaunpur, Azamgarh, Mirzapur, Ghazipur, Mau, Ballia, Sultanpur, Amethi, Pratapgarh, Chandauri, Bhadohi, Sonbhandh, Dewaria, Kushinagar, Maharajganj, Basti, Sant Kabir Nagar, Siddharthnagar, Gonda, Bahraich, Shravasti, Balrampur, and Ambedkar Nagar.

Extensive rains are forecasted in Bihar on September 25. Heavy precipitation is expected in some places, while intense rains may be observed in other regions. There is also a possibility of strong winds, thunderstorms, and lightning in the state. The next 24 hours will be significant from a weather perspective in Jharkhand. Orange warnings have been issued for Ranchi, Hunti, Gumla, Simdega, and West Singhbhum due to heavy or very heavy rainfall in some areas, and yellow warnings for 11 districts.

A warning for heavy rains, thunderstorms, and storms has been issued for Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh, and Uttarakhand on September 25. The impact of rain and strong winds may also affect some other parts of North-West India.

Monsoon activity will also continue in Rajasthan. In eastern Rajasthan, including Jaipur, Alwar, Bharatpur, Dholpur, Dausa, Karauli, Sawai Madhopur, Tonk, Bundi, Kota, Baran, Jhalawar, Sikar, Junghunhu, and Chittorgarh, rain is expected in several places on September 25. This period of rain is forecast to last until September 27. In western Rajasthan, including Jodhpur, Jaisalmer, Barmer, Bikaner, Nagaur, Sri Ganganagar, Hanumangarh, Churu, Pali, Balotra, Phalodi, and Sirohi, there is also a possibility of rain in some places.

Increased rainfall is expected in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, and Vidarbha on September 25. There is a warning of very heavy precipitation in parts of Western Madhya Pradesh, Eastern Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, and Vidarbha. Strong winds up to 70 kilometers per hour are expected in Chhattisgarh. Thunderstorms, lightning, and storms may also occur in these areas.

Relatively less rain is expected in the Konkan region of Maharashtra on the day of Ananta Chaturdashi. Nevertheless, heavy rains are possible in some areas of Marathwada and Vidarbha. Heavy rain is possible in some places in Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar, Nanded, Latur, Parbhani, Beed, Jalna, Dharashiv, Hingoli, and Ambajogai. Orange warnings have been issued for Bhandara, Chandrapur, Gadchiroli, and Gondia.

The deep pressure over the Bay of Bengal is affecting the weather in West Bengal and Orissa. Consequently, heavy and very heavy rains are expected in some parts of West Bengal from September 25 to Saturday. Rain is also predicted in Purbi Medinipur, Paschim Medinipur, Jhargram, Darjeeling, Kalimpong, Jalpaiguri, and Alipurduar.

Considering the strong winds at sea, IMD advised fishermen near the coasts of West Bengal and Orissa not to go out to sea until Friday. During this period, wind speed may range from 55 to 65 kilometers per hour. Extensive rains are also expected in Orissa on September 25, with the possibility of very heavy precipitation, thunderstorms, lightning, and strong winds in some places.

There is a rain warning in all Northeastern Indian states. Rains with a probability of storms and thunderstorms are expected in Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura. The weather will also be active in many Southern Indian states. Rain may fall in Raisalaim, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal, Kerala, Mahé, and Lakshadweep. Rain is also predicted in coastal Karnataka, North and South Interior Karnataka, Telangana, coastal Andhra Pradesh, and Yanam, where thunderstorms are expected.

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