Study shows 10% decrease in atmospheric dust over 20 years; scientists study impact on global warming
Read more
Aaj Tak
www.aajtak.in

Study shows 10% decrease in atmospheric dust over 20 years; scientists study impact on global warming

According to a new study by scientists from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), the amount of dust in the atmosphere has decreased by approximately 10% over the last two decades. This reduction was recorded between 2003 and 2023.

Experts note that the decrease in dust may cause minor changes in the amount of solar heat reaching the Earth's surface. This factor is significant because tiny dust particles reflect some sunlight back into space, thereby reducing the heat input to the planet.

Nevertheless, scientists emphasize that the primary cause of global warming remains the emission of greenhouse gases. Satellite data, ground measurements, and atmospheric models for the period from 2003 to 2023 were used to conduct this research.

A large portion of the dust entering the atmosphere comes from desert regions, such as the Sahara in North Africa and the Gobi in Asia. Strong winds lift fine soil particles from these areas and carry them thousands of kilometers. Approximately 200 million tons of dust and sand enter the atmosphere annually, with most of this material originating from the deserts of North Africa and the Middle East, reaching other continents and oceans along with the wind.

Dust particles reflect some sunlight, directing it back into space, which leads to a reduction in solar energy reaching the Earth's surface. Consequently, the decrease in dust may weaken this natural cooling effect.

Scientists involved in the study concluded that the reduction in dust contributed to a slight increase in human-induced heat. However, this impact is significantly smaller than the heat generated by greenhouse gases, so the decrease in dust cannot be considered the main cause of global warming.

The impact of atmospheric dust is not limited to temperature. These particles help deliver essential nutrients to the seas and land. On the other hand, when dust settles on snow and ice, it reduces the reflectivity of the surface, allowing ice to absorb more solar energy, which accelerates its melting. Scientists also point out that drying lakes and bodies of water, such as the US Salt Flats, the Great Salt Lake, and the Aral Sea in Asia, are becoming new sources of dust.

The main question facing the scientific community is the reason for the decrease in dust between 2003 and 2023. Possible factors may include changes in wind patterns, land conditions, and other ecological shifts. Nevertheless, the level of dust in the atmosphere still exceeds pre-industrial levels, so scientists continue to study how this dust pattern may change under future climate change conditions.

Similar stories

Study shows heatwave duration increased by 39 days over 45 years
Read more
www.aajtak.in

Study shows heatwave duration increased by 39 days over 45 years

According to a new study of global climate data from 1979 to 2023, heatwaves in many parts of the world are now starting earlier and ending later. Researchers found that over 45 years, the dry season for heatwaves has lengthened by an average of about 39 days.

This study was conducted by scientists from the South China Botanical Garden (SCBG) and the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS). The team analyzed data from 1979 to 2023, examining when the first heatwaves began, when the last ones ended, the overall season duration, and the speed at which the first wave reached peak temperature.

The study found that every ten years, the first heatwave started, on average, 3.29 days earlier. At the same time, the last heatwave ended approximately 5.41 days later. Thus, per decade, the heatwave season lengthened by an average of 8.71 days. Between 1979 and 2023, the first heatwave appeared about two weeks earlier, and the last one ended about 24 days later.

Researchers analyzed heatwave patterns in various terrestrial regions worldwide. They identified a trend toward an earlier start of the first heatwave in 72% of land areas and a later end of the last heatwave in 79.6% of areas. The most significant changes were observed in the duration of the heatwave season: a trend toward an increase in the season's length was recorded in 92.1% of the world's land areas. These changes were particularly pronounced in arid regions.

This means that the threat associated with heat can persist for a longer period in many places. If heatwaves used to arrive around a certain time, their season now starts earlier and lasts longer in many regions.

The team also studied how quickly the maximum temperature is reached in the first wave of the season. For this, the first wave was classified as fast, moderate, or slow onset. Between 2001 and 2023, the proportion of first heatwaves with a fast onset increased in areas affected by heatwaves. This indicates that in some places, the first heatwave is now growing faster and reaching its maximum temperature in less time.

Such heatwaves may give people and other systems less time to prepare. According to the researchers, simply looking at temperature increase or heat duration is not enough to understand the danger of heatwaves; it is also important to consider when the wave started and how quickly it intensified.

The lengthening of heatwave seasons also affects agriculture. The study examined the impact of heatwaves on agricultural crops between 2001 and 2023. Special attention was paid to critical phases such as flowering and grain filling, during which the impact of heatwaves on many major crops increased. Crop exposure during these important stages increased from 1.6% to 13.3% in the 2001–2023 period compared to 1979–2000. The impact of heatwaves also increased before and after these crop development phases.

The researchers emphasize that when assessing heatwave risk, it is insufficient to consider only temperature and its duration. It is also necessary to consider when the wave started and ended, as well as the speed at which it reached its maximum temperature. According to the study, incorporating these changes into heat monitoring and early warning systems can help better understand and prepare for threats related to people, agriculture, ecosystem management, and energy supply.

Popular