Scientists predict sharp rise in mortality from climate anomalies in 2026–2027 due to Super El Niño
Read more
Podrobno.uz [uz]
podrobno.uz

Scientists predict sharp rise in mortality from climate anomalies in 2026–2027 due to Super El Niño

According to a study published by The Guardian, citing scientists, over 450,000 people globally could die due to the Super El Niño climate phenomenon between September 2026 and February 2027.

Researchers indicate that these human losses could be caused by heatwaves, droughts, wildfires, and floods triggered by El Niño. The greatest threat is predicted in tropical countries, including Indonesia, Nigeria, Sudan, India, and Brazil, as well as in the Sahel region, Southeast Asia, and the USA.

Experts also suggest that the increased mortality linked to abnormal heat may persist longer, possibly until June or July 2027.

Forecasting Methodology

The forecasts were developed using peer-reviewed methodologies that analyze the monthly correlation between temperature increase and additional heat-related deaths in 24,378 different regions of the planet. This data was compared with projected temperature increases caused by El Niño for the coming months, using the average number of heat-related deaths from 1996 to 2025 as a baseline.

Scientists emphasize that such calculations allow for the timely identification of areas requiring immediate protective measures. Among the potential solutions proposed by experts are the creation of special cooling centers, expanding the staff of medical institutions during peak loads, and implementing additional protection measures for people working outdoors.

The natural El Niño phenomenon causes an increase in the surface water temperature of the Pacific Ocean, which in turn leads to the occurrence of severe heatwaves, heavy rainfall, droughts, and other climatic deviations across the globe.

Similar stories

Four Scents That Repel Snakes, According to Safety Advice
Read more
www.aajtak.in

Four Scents That Repel Snakes, According to Safety Advice

During periods of rain and heat, snakes, as well as other venomous insects and pests, often leave their burrows and head towards residential areas or directly into homes. This creates a threat to family safety and constant fear. However, it is known that certain strong odors can bother snakes. Although special measures are required to ensure home safety, there are remedies that can help repel snakes.

Using Garlic and Cinnamon Essential Oils

The aromas of these two spices are very sharp and intense. When snakes inhale their scent, it causes irritation in their glands. To apply, pour water into a spray bottle and add 10–15 drops of cinnamon and clove oil. This solution should be sprayed near door frames, window frames, and bushes. Since the aroma dissipates quickly, regular reapplication is required.

White Vinegar

The strong smell containing organic acids in vinegar can also disorient snakes. If there are ditches, gardens, or water sources near the house, pure white vinegar without adding water should be poured.

Lemongrass or Mint Scent

The strong menthol aroma of lemongrass and mint is extremely unpleasant for snakes. You can plant lemongrass in the yard or in pots. Additionally, you can soak cotton pads with peppermint oil and place them in dark corners and storage rooms of the house.

Even if these aromatic substances help repel snakes, it is still important to maintain cleanliness around the house, not pile up stacks of dry wood, and control the mouse population so that snakes do not come inside looking for food.

Garlic and Onion

Garlic and onion contain sulfurous acids and a sharp, bitter odor that disrupts the nervous system of snakes. Crush garlic cloves and onions, squeeze out the juice, mix it with a small amount of rock salt, and spray it along the main gates, fences, and garden walls.

Environmental Damage in Palestine by Israel: Assessing the Consequences of War and Climate Crimes
Read more
www.tehrantimes.com

Environmental Damage in Palestine by Israel: Assessing the Consequences of War and Climate Crimes

The environmental damage inflicted by Israel on Palestinian territory has been accompanied by the destruction of Palestinians' lives, housing, and livelihoods. Agricultural lands and olive groves have been subjected to burning or destruction, while homes, vehicles, cities, and refugee camps have been repeatedly bombed.

Thick clouds of soot, formed as a result of bombings in Gaza, have raised serious concerns among ecologists regarding the destructive impact of the war on the environment.

In September 2025, the Palestinian Institute for Climate Strategy, in collaboration with Tipping Point North South, calculated that Israel and its allies owe Palestinians climate compensation for military actions and conflict-related damages amounting to $148 billion, dating back to the Nakba period. This assessment is based on calculating the climate costs from tracked military emissions, with $103 billion attributed to Israel, $40.8 billion to the United States, and smaller amounts to several European allies. Researchers emphasized that this figure represents only a measurable part of the broader environmental and social damage.

Additional environmental harm was caused by the burning of agricultural lands and forests in Southern Lebanon, as well as the destruction of residential buildings in villages and cities, including Beirut.

The war in Gaza has also led to colossal greenhouse gas emissions. According to a study published in the journal One Earth in March 2026, direct emissions from the conflict exceeded 1.3 million tons of CO2 equivalent by January 2025. Including emissions related to pre-war military infrastructure and post-war reconstruction, this estimate rises to 33.2 million tons of CO2 equivalent, with approximately 31.4 million tons attributed solely to reconstruction.

However, the ecological consequences extend far beyond carbon emissions. The war has created serious threats to both the Mediterranean marine environment and Gaza's groundwater system. These two issues are closely linked: the destruction of water supply and sanitation systems has allowed pollutants from surface and groundwater systems to enter the Mediterranean Sea.

The most immediate consequence has been the massive discharge of untreated sewage into the sea. Gaza's wastewater treatment system has largely failed. UNEP estimated that in March 2024, about 60,000 cubic meters of sewage and wastewater were discharged into the environment, primarily into the Mediterranean Sea. This sewage can contain pathogens and disease-causing microorganisms, nitrogen and phosphorus that promote eutrophication and oxygen depletion, microplastics, organic pollutants, industrial chemicals, and other hazardous substances. Damaged infrastructure and military activities can also lead to the entry of heavy metals and other pollutants.

UNEP's assessment for September 2025 showed that Gaza's marine and coastal ecosystems were contaminated with sewage, solid waste, and munitions. Nevertheless, it was noted that the exact scale and chemical composition of the contamination cannot yet be determined due to severe limitations in conducting proper environmental sampling.

The war has also damaged marine life and fisheries. Pollution threatens Gaza's coastal ecosystems, fish stocks, and other marine organisms. UNEP stated that the conflict has effectively eliminated the livelihoods of fishermen in Gaza, and the destruction of environmental management systems has hindered control over food chain contamination.

There is also a long-term problem: if huge volumes of military waste are dumped into the sea or used for land restoration without proper sorting and treatment, asbestos, heavy metals, hydrocarbons, and other pollutants could enter marine ecosystems and potentially the food chain.

The war has also placed significant additional pressure on Gaza's Coastal Aquifer, which is the primary natural source of fresh water in the enclave. This could be one of the most serious long-term ecological consequences of the conflict. The destruction of sewage networks and treatment facilities, combined with a widespread reliance on septic tanks, allows contaminated water to seep into the porous soil and reach the aquifer. UNEP's 2025 assessment indicates a high probability of groundwater contamination and warns that the destruction of pipeline systems and the increased use of septic tanks have raised the risk of such pollution. Potential pollutants include sewage and pathogens, nitrates and other nutrients, chemicals, heavy metals, hydrocarbons, and pollutants associated with munitions and destroyed infrastructure.

The groundwater issue is exacerbated by soil contamination. The crisis is not limited to sewage. Building destruction has resulted in tens of millions of tons of debris, and military operations have contaminated the soil with munitions, solid waste, and untreated sewage.

According to UNEP estimates for September 2025, the destruction of approximately 78 percent of Gaza's buildings has resulted in about 61 million tons of debris. It was warned that about 15 percent of this debris could pose a relatively high contamination risk due to asbestos, industrial waste, and heavy metals if waste streams are not properly separated.

Rainwater passing through contaminated soil and debris can carry pollutants down to the groundwater. At the same time, the destruction and compaction of the soil have reduced its ability to absorb water, increasing surface runoff and decreasing groundwater recharge.

Seawater infiltration could become an even more serious problem. Gaza's aquifer has already experienced over-extraction before the war. Excessive groundwater extraction lowers the freshwater level and can allow Mediterranean seawater to penetrate the aquifer.

The war has severely damaged pumping, storage, desalination, and wastewater treatment systems, significantly complicating the management of both groundwater depletion and contamination. UNEP's assessment found extensive damage to Gaza's water infrastructure and warned that the ecological consequences could persist for decades.

Thus, the environmental damage is not limited to Gaza's coastline.

The Mediterranean Sea is a semi-enclosed sea, and pollutants discharged from Gaza can be carried by currents and coastal circulation. The precise regional scale of contamination remains uncertain due to severe limitations in environmental monitoring. Nevertheless, scientific modeling has studied how pollutants from sewage can disperse from Gaza's coastal waters into the Mediterranean Sea.

The latest UNEP assessment warns that restoring the damage to Gaza's water resources, soils, freshwater ecosystems, and marine environment could take decades.

Israel's environmental impact on Palestinian lands predates the current war. Palestinian environmental activists have documented for years the destruction of agricultural lands and restrictions affecting water and other natural resources. Among the practices mentioned by Palestinian environmental groups are the spraying of pesticides in agricultural areas in Gaza and the destruction of arable land.

Palestinian environmental activists also accuse Israel of policies that systematically restrict Palestinians' access to water resources. Najla Abdelatif, founder of Zero Waste Palestine, told Middle East Eye that she met with Palestinian farmers whose groundwater sources were affected by measures related to the Israeli state water company.

Collectively, the destruction of agricultural lands, water supply and sanitation systems, soil, coastal ecosystems, and natural resources has created an environmental crisis whose consequences will likely be felt long after the fighting ends.

Popular