A threat of imposing a 100% tariff against India has emerged. US President Donald Trump signed a law that restricts Russia and Iran. This law grants Trump the authority to apply tariffs of up to 100% to countries that purchase significant volumes of energy resources from Russia.
India is among the countries under close scrutiny because it is a major importer of Russian crude oil, alongside China.
If Trump applies the 100% tariff according to this legislation, it could seriously impact the economy, given that India and the US are major trading partners, and the volume of Indian exports to the US is quite substantial.
The law, titled the 'Lindsey O Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026,' targets five countries that purchase more crude oil from Russia. These include China, India, Slovakia, Hungary, and Azerbaijan. The bill was approved by the US Senate with 86 votes and 11 abstentions in August. After receiving approval, it was announced that President Trump signed the document.
Furthermore, this law expands previously existing sanctions against Iran. Trump now has the authority to impose tariffs of up to 100% on countries acquiring Russian oil and gas fuel. The American Trade Representative will assess the listed countries every 180 days. Nevertheless, India has stated that its national interests will not be compromised by this American move.
Following the start of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, India has continuously increased its import of Russian oil, obtaining it at preferential prices. Currently, India purchases over 40% of its oil needs from Russia. According to reports, in August 2026, India purchased about 20.8 million barrels per day of crude oil from Russia, while this figure was even higher in July—28.2 million barrels per day.
If India starts purchasing fuel from other countries instead of discounted Russian oil due to the threat of a 100% tariff, it will lead to a sharp increase in India's import bill. Rising fuel prices will also increase the risk of inflation in the country, which will hit consumers particularly hard through rising prices for gasoline and diesel fuel.
Currently, an 18% US tariff applies to India, but if India continues to purchase Russian oil under the new law, it faces a 100% tariff. This will directly affect India's export figures. The introduction of high tariffs will make Indian products more expensive in the American market, potentially causing American buyers to switch to cheaper alternatives from Bangladesh, Vietnam, or other countries, dealing a serious blow to Indian exports.
To understand the impact of the 100% US tariff, it is necessary to examine data on goods exported from India to America. Significant volumes of goods exported to the US include textiles, jewelry, engineering goods, leather goods, marine products, and chemicals. There is a risk of reduced orders for these items due to the imposition of tariffs.
According to data provided by the Ministry of Commerce, an PTI report showed that in August 2026, India's exports to the US reached $8.4 billion (exceeding 80 thousand crore rupees), demonstrating a growth of 21.83% compared to the same period last fiscal year. Meanwhile, imports into India from the US increased by 65.78%, reaching $5.97 billion.


