Fitch downgrades Anor Bank rating to CCC+ due to deteriorating capital base
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Fitch downgrades Anor Bank rating to CCC+ due to deteriorating capital base

The international rating agency Fitch Ratings has lowered the long-term ratings of Anor Bank's issuer in both foreign and local currencies to CCC+ from the previous B-. Furthermore, the bank's Viability Rating (VR) was downgraded to ccc+ from b-.

These downgrades reflect a significant deterioration in Anor Bank's baseline capitalization according to IFRS standards and the high risk profile inherent to the bank. Over the past four years, Anor has demonstrated rapid business growth while operating with limited capital buffers amid the unstable operational environment of Uzbekistan.

The bank's Fitch Core Capital (FCC) ratio fell to 0.9% by the end of 2025, compared to 4.3% the previous year. Fitch noted that this is one of the lowest figures among banks assessed by the agency worldwide. The decline was caused by aggressive lending growth that was not sufficiently supported by shareholder contributions.

Nevertheless, Anor's regulatory Tier 1 capital ratio stood at 10.4% as of the end of 2025, slightly exceeding the minimum threshold of 10%. Over the last four years, the bank maintained only a small margin above this regulatory requirement.

On September 9, the Anor Supervisory Board approved a set of measures aimed at restoring capitalization by the end of 2026. These measures include a capital injection of 100 billion soms by the shareholder and the realization of intangible assets. Following the implementation of these steps, Fitch expects the FCC ratio to rise to approximately 5% by the end of 2026.

The agency also highlighted the high risk profile and aggressive expansion of Anor Bank's credit portfolio. The total volume of the bank's credit portfolio increased by 50% in 2025 and more than tenfold over four years, although the growth started from a low base.

In 2025, asset quality deteriorated. The proportion of non-performing loans rose from 3% at the end of 2024 to 5% at the end of 2025, and the share of Stage 2 loans increased from 4% to 9%. Fitch forecasts a further deterioration in asset quality indicators, although risks may be partially contained by strengthened risk control, low loan concentration, dollarization, and expanded secured lending.

The bank's operating profit in 2025 decreased to 0.3% of risk-weighted assets, compared to 2.4% the previous year. Performance was affected by declining margins, expansion of lending with lower profitability, and increased deposit attraction costs. The cost of risk increased from 3.6% in 2024 to 4.5%.

The main source of funding for Anor is deposits from the non-state sector, primarily from private individuals. By the end of 2025, such deposits accounted for 61% of the bank's liabilities, while state deposits represented 13%. By mid-2026, liquid assets constituted 15% of total assets, which Fitch considers an adequate level.

Anor Bank is a private digital bank established in 2020. By mid-2026, it held 2% of the loans and 3% of the deposits in the Uzbek banking sector. More than 75% of its credit portfolio at the end of 2025 was allocated to small loans to individuals and self-employed persons. The bank is also increasing lending to small and medium-sized enterprises.

Fitch maintained its assessment of the operating environment for Uzbek banks at b+/Stable, noting progress in banking reforms, including stricter regulation and efforts to eliminate accumulated risks. The economy of Uzbekistan grew by 8.5% year-on-year in the first half of 2026.

Further downgrades of Anor Bank may occur if the FCC ratio fails to reach 5% due to delays or incomplete execution of the approved capital restoration plan. Ratings could also be lowered in case of significant liquidity deterioration and increased default risk on senior obligations. To improve the rating, sustained FCC growth above 6% will be required, possibly accompanied by a slowdown in business growth in line with the bank's internal capital generation or additional shareholder contributions.

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Fitch raises Kapitalbank ratings to B+ before withdrawing services
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Fitch raises Kapitalbank ratings to B+ before withdrawing services

Fitch Ratings has upgraded the long-term ratings of the issuer Kapitalbank in foreign and local currencies from B to B+, and also raised the viability rating (VR) from b to b+. The outlook for long-term IDR was set as Stable.

Simultaneously, the international rating agency withdrew Kapitalbank's ratings for commercial reasons and ceased providing analytical and rating services to the bank.

The rating upgrade occurred against the backdrop of an improving operating environment for Uzbek banks. According to Fitch, reforms implemented in recent years have strengthened Kapitalbank's business profile, capitalization, and liquidity, while the bank has consistently demonstrated high profitability.

Prior to the withdrawal of ratings, the assessment of Kapitalbank was based primarily on its autonomous credit profile, reflected in the VR. Fitch noted the significant scale of the bank's operations, its strong ability to build capital from internal sources, and a solid liquidity position.

Nevertheless, the agency identified factors limiting the assessment of the bank's risk profile, including a high concentration of the loan portfolio in one sector and Kapitalbank's tendency toward rapid business expansion, which could potentially put pressure on asset quality.

Fitch also improved its assessment of the operating environment of the banking sector in Uzbekistan from b/Positive to b+/Stable. This adjustment reflects progress in banking reforms over the past two years, particularly the strengthening of regulation and measures to address issues related to outdated risks.

In Fitch's view, the combination of an improved operating environment and stable business conditions enhances the resilience of banks' credit profiles. An additional positive factor is Uzbekistan's strong economic growth: the country's GDP increased by 8.5% year-on-year in the first half of 2026.

By the end of June 2026, Kapitalbank accounted for about 6% of the total credit portfolio of the Uzbek banking system. The bank maintained high profitability over the previous five years.

However, Kapitalbank's business model remained relatively concentrated. After aggressive expansion in retail auto lending during 2021–2023, the bank significantly reduced lending in this segment and began to more actively develop small and medium-sized enterprise lending. Despite this, auto loans still constituted more than half of the credit portfolio by the end of the first half of 2026.

During 2024–2025, non-retail lending more than doubled, although this growth occurred from a relatively low base. Fitch considers SME lending in Uzbekistan a riskier area, as a significant portion of such operations is conducted in foreign currency.

The share of foreign currency loans at Kapitalbank increased from 41% at the end of 2025 to 46% at the end of the first half of 2026. This figure exceeded the average level in the banking sector of 39%.

The bank's risk profile is partially supported by a significant share of secured lending. However, it is negatively affected by the concentration of loans in one sector, high currency risks, and Kapitalbank's tendency toward rapid growth.

Fitch assessed the quality of the loan portfolio as manageable. Non-performing loans accounted for 5% of the portfolio at the end of the first half of 2026, and another 6% represented Stage 2 loans. Most of these exposures were related to auto loans issued during the previous period of rapid expansion.

Fitch considers the risks acceptable due to the high diversification of non-performing loans, their predominantly local currency denomination, and the availability of liquid collateral.

High interest margins and growth in the loan portfolio ensured significant operating profit for Kapitalbank. In the period 2022–2025, the average operating profit was about 5% of Risk-Weighted Assets (RWA).

In the first half of 2026, return on equity decreased to 18% from 29% in 2025. The agency attributed this decline to high funding costs. Fitch forecasts that the bank's operating profit in 2026 will be below 5% of RWA, but will remain high and significantly exceed the banking sector average.

Kapitalbank's capitalization also strengthened. Fitch's Tier 1 capital ratio rose from 14.6% at the end of 2025 to 16.4% at the end of the first half of 2026. The increase was driven by the bank's high profitability.

Fitch expected further, albeit moderate, growth in this indicator in 2026. According to the forecast, internal capital generation will outpace the growth of the loan portfolio.

The bank's liquidity position also remained strong. The loan-to-deposit ratio was 82% at the end of the first half of 2026 compared to the market average of 137%. Thus, Kapitalbank had significantly less dependence on deposit financing than several comparable banks.

Liquid assets covered about 40% of customer funds as of the end of June 2026. At the same time, the volume of wholesale debt maturing within the next 12 months remained limited.

After withdrawing ratings, Fitch no longer applies sensitivity factors that could lead to a rating upgrade or downgrade.

Before the ratings ceased, Kapitalbank's sovereign support rating was assessed as None. Fitch linked this to Uzbekistan's legislation on the resolution and restructuring of troubled banks, which provides for the possibility of writing off or converting senior creditors' obligations into capital within the resolution process.

The adjustment of income and profitability to the b+ level from the implied bb level reflected historical and forecast figures that formed the basis for the negative adjustment.

Fitch also reported that after withdrawing ratings, it will stop publishing relevant ESG Assessments for Kapitalbank. Previously, the maximum level of ESG relevance factors for the credit rating was assessed at level 3. This score means that ESG factors are neutral to credit quality or have a minimal impact on it.

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