A natural and silent mechanism sustains access to water, rivers, and crops for millions of inhabitants in South America. This system is the Amazon, which operates through a complex hydrological cycle: moisture from the ocean generates precipitation over the forest; this water is absorbed by the trees and returned to the atmosphere as vapor; subsequently, the wind disperses this vapor across the continent, promoting rainfall in various locations.
Researcher Julia Valentim Tavares identifies this process as the primary water infrastructure of South America and the planet's largest 'rain machine.' A single mature tree in the Amazon can release between 200 and 300 liters of water daily. She illustrates the concept by saying: 'Imagine 400 billion of them working together every day. If we could make this moisture possible, we would see giant rivers flying in the sky. That is what we scientists call flying rivers.'
Marielos Peñaclaros, co-president of the Scientific Panel for the Amazon, which brings together more than 350 specialists dedicated to studying the biome, emphasizes that the forest constitutes the backbone of carbon, nutrient, and water cycles on local, regional, and global scales. According to her, 'the Amazon sustains life, not only in the Amazon region, but on the planet as a whole.'
Both researchers presented their findings at the latest edition of TEDxAmazônia, held in Ecuador at the end of August. In addition to underlining the relevance of this water system, they issued a serious warning: the degradation of the Amazon is already impacting the 'rain machine,' and its collapse would have catastrophic consequences for the globe.
Marielos points out that activities such as drug trafficking and mining, along with deforestation and burning, are directly affecting Amazonian connectivity, a crucial element for the preservation of the biome. She describes the Amazon as a 'living mosaic of interconnected terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems that houses a great diversity of cultures,' mentioning the deep and interdependent bond of these communities with the ecosystems through their ways of life and traditional knowledge.
Climate impacts are already observable, with evidence that deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon causes reduced rainfall in parts of Brazil and Bolivia. In deforested areas, there is an increase in temperature, and dry seasons become longer and more severe. Julia Valentim Tavares monitors these effects in the interior of trees on the southern edge of the Amazon, known as the deforestation arc, where there has been a decrease in rainfall volume and an increase in temperature over the last decade. She investigates the resistance of these trees to drought, explaining that when the soil loses water during a dry spell, the internal structure of the tree becomes stressed until it breaks, leading to death by thirst if this happens repeatedly.
In recent years, the region has also been affected by global warming. In 2024, the Amazon experienced the worst drought in its history, resulting from El Niño, a natural phenomenon of Pacific Ocean water warming that modifies atmospheric circulation and has been intensifying. Marielos highlights that 88% of the Amazon basin felt the effects of this drought, which also harmed the 'rain machine.' The capital of Colombia, Bogotá, suffered from water scarcity, and in Quito, the capital of Ecuador, the lack of water resulted in power cuts.
The co-president of the Scientific Panel for the Amazon questioned: 'Where does the water for countless Latin American cities come from? Where does the water we use in agriculture, livestock, industry, and food production come from?' The drought also made the Amazon more susceptible to fires, which reached record levels that year. Julia Valentim Tavares recalled that smoke from the fire hotspots spread across the country, reaching even the Southeast Region. She concluded that 'the Amazon has never been distant; what happens in the forest does not stay in the forest. And according to her: millions of people depend on the Amazon, but still do not feel connected to it.'
The risk of a super El Niño this year raised alarms among the researchers. Julia warns that during these droughts, the forest may suffer mortality due to hydraulic failure or cease growing, combined with fire events. This causes the Amazon to stop being a carbon reservoir and become an emitting source, accelerating global warming. Marielos emphasizes that although they expect an event equal to or worse than 2024, the difference is that now everyone is discussing how a river can dry up in the Amazon.
For Marielos, the definitive solution lies in drastically reducing greenhouse gas emissions, which requires replacing fossil fuels with less polluting energy sources. It is also essential to invest in connectivity, restoring degraded areas and recovering deforested lands to promote this ecological reconnection, as the Amazon is approaching a point of no return, and the total loss of this connection would be catastrophic for the entire world.

