Foreign portfolio investors pulled out 13,138 crore rupees from stocks in September amid global uncertainty
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Foreign portfolio investors pulled out 13,138 crore rupees from stocks in September amid global uncertainty

Foreign investors withdrew 13,138 crore rupees from the Indian stock market in the first half of September. This occurred against the backdrop of increasing global uncertainty, which led to rising crude oil prices, increased US bond yields, and a strengthening dollar, negatively impacting risk appetite.

This recent outflow followed a period when Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) were net buyers in July and August, injecting 20,200 crore and 29,630 crore rupees, respectively. These figures were provided by the Central Depository Services (India) Ltd (CDSL).

Prior to this, FPIs had been net sellers for four consecutive months, from March to June. With the latest withdrawal, the total outflow from Indian equities by FPIs reached 2.37 trillion rupees in 2026, surpassing the 1.66 trillion rupees withdrawn throughout 2025, according to the data presented.

According to NSDL data, FPIs withdrew 13,138 crore rupees from Indian stocks in the first two weeks of September, up to September 11th.

Forecasts and Influencing Factors

Vedant Ghopte, co-founder and CEO of the investment platform Trackk, noted that the sales in September were driven more by global than domestic issues in India. He stated that 'the September sales are related to the dollar and oil, not India. When rates rise in the US and oil prices increase, money leaves all emerging markets.'

The price of Brent crude jumped to $109.97 per barrel on Friday and remained above the $102 per barrel mark, which is the July level, amidst heightened geopolitical tensions. The rise in interest rates and the high probability of a rate hike at the upcoming US Federal Reserve meeting next week also dampened investor sentiment, according to Pabitra Mukhyey, Vice President of Research at Bajaj Broking.

In the future, FPI flows are likely to be heavily dependent on the conflict between Iran and the US and its subsequent impact on crude oil prices. V. K. Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Investments, suggested: 'Higher crude oil prices (Brent above $108) and higher inflation imply a tightening of monetary policy, which means further increases in bond yields.' He added that 'if the 10-year US bond approaches 5 percent, there could be a sharp correction in global stock markets. In such a scenario, FPIs might become sellers and shift funds into high-yield bonds.'

Furthermore, foreign investors expanded their sales to the debt market during the period under review. They withdrew 1,350 crore rupees through the Fully Accessible Route (FAR) and 955 crore rupees through the general route, while investing 29 crore rupees through the Voluntary Repurchase Route (VRR).

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Reserve Bank of India withdraws over 6 trillion rupees in liquidity from banks after record growth
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Reserve Bank of India withdraws over 6 trillion rupees in liquidity from banks after record growth

The Central Bank of India, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), conducted operations to withdraw over 6 trillion rupees, equivalent to 63.53 billion US dollars, on Monday. This move followed a sharp increase in bank liquidity to a historic high.

During an overnight auction, the RBI received bids totaling 3.53 trillion rupees, immediately after banks placed 2.59 trillion rupees through a 30-day auction.

Five traders reported that the RBI planned to withdraw 7 trillion rupees via a 30-day operation, but participation was weak due to technical glitches. However, a source familiar with the matter denied any glitches, asserting that all applications went through the RBI's e-Kuber system used for such trades. This source requested anonymity as they are not authorized to speak to the media.

The RBI did not respond to an email requesting comment. It was previously noted that significant liquidity surpluses could trigger inflation and stimulate financial assets. Last month, the RBI hinted at a possible rate hike amid strengthening inflation and growth.

One treasury official noted that despite the imperfect response, another long-term reverse repo might take place within the week.

The liquidity surplus in the Indian banking system reached 11.6 trillion rupees on September 6, accounting for almost 4% of deposits in the banking system. This surge occurred after India received a larger-than-expected amount of 136 billion US dollars under special one-off programs aimed at strengthening the country's external balance.

The total volume of liquidity withdrawals by the RBI exceeded 8.5 trillion rupees, with these funds returning to the system as operations mature.

IDFC First Bank expects the central bank to use a combination of tools given the high level of excess liquidity that needs to be drained. Gaurav Sen Gupta, Chief Economist at IDFC First Bank, stated that the preferred option is a combination of Market Stabilization Scheme (MSS) bonds and repurchase agreements. He added that these two instruments are the least disruptive to the system's functioning, though they also come with their own challenges.

The RBI conducts both overnight and 15-day reverse repos. Longer-term auctions attract less interest because banks are reluctant to place funds for extended periods.

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