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China has assured Nepal of the continuous provision of information regarding glacial lake risks and meteorological data. This support is intended to help Nepal cope with natural disasters such as floods and landslides.

This initiative was revealed through the social media channels of the Chinese embassy in Kathmandu, which referenced the Ministry of Water Resources of China. The embassy stated that Nepal will regularly receive hydrological information concerning glacial lake risks and emergencies.

According to China, this information will serve as support for rescue and humanitarian operations in Nepal. It will include details on potential dangers in the Himalayas (glacial) and reports on water flow blockages. Timely receipt of such data will allow Nepal to prepare for possible disasters.

The Chinese embassy noted that following the Bhote Koshi flood, China is already providing Nepal with various meteorological information, including weather monitoring, forecasts, and early warnings. Furthermore, it shares information about the potential consequences of the flood.

China asserts that such information can significantly improve rescue and aid operations during disasters, especially considering that sudden changes in weather and water levels in mountainous regions can cause serious problems. The China Meteorological Administration reported that immediately after the disaster, a video conference was held with the Department of Water and Meteorological Sciences of Nepal, where weather conditions and potential threats were discussed.

A representative of the Chinese embassy also shared this information. According to the China Meteorological Administration, cooperation between Nepal and China in the field of weather will continue, and Nepal will receive necessary forecasts and warnings. Chinese officials emphasized that the goal of sharing meteorological information is to facilitate timely action during disasters, thereby improving the monitoring of threats related to floods, landslides, and the Himalayas.

Both Nepal and China are linked to the Himalayan region, so monitoring meteorological and hydrological phenomena is of great importance to both countries. Rising water levels or sudden glacial lake breaches in the Himalayas can create a risk of flooding in lower areas, making timely notification critically important for public safety.

China stated that it will continue to provide Nepal with vital information regarding meteorology and hydrology to support efforts in search and rescue and disaster relief in Nepal.

In Nepal, more than 1295 people have died due to severe floods and landslides. According to the Nepal Police, 1293 bodies were found across eight different districts, and two people died in two Kathmandu hospitals on Friday. Approximately 5000 people are still missing. Security forces have evacuated 13093 people from affected areas. During the search and rescue operation, two employees trapped in a tunnel for nine days were rescued alive. Humanitarian aid was also sent to Nepal from India.

In the sixth and seventh relief flights from India to Kathmandu, 21.5 tons of humanitarian aid, including medical equipment and forensic kits, were delivered. This aid is being used in rescue and disaster relief operations in Nepal. Among the missing are also about 600 children, including approximately 280 in Ruswa and 300-350 in Nawakot. Additionally, 22 teachers and school staff members are missing in two districts. Statistics show that 22 schools were affected by the floods, 12 of which were completely destroyed. On the other hand, the Nepalese government announced a package of assistance for affected traders, announcing measures such as debt restructuring, subsidized lending, and tax breaks.

Following devastating floods in the Bhote Koshi River in Nepal, a new serious risk has emerged due to the formation of a large barrier lake on the border of Nepal and China. This lake is located at the confluence of the Chochhen Hola and Purepu Tsangpo rivers. Scientists and Chinese officials are remaining vigilant because the weakening of the natural dam holding back the water could lead to a sudden discharge of a large volume of water downstream.

China's Ministry of Water Resources has declared the next 72 hours critical and intensified monitoring in the region. Although this area does not directly border India, its river system is connected to India. According to current estimates, the confluence of the lake and rivers is located approximately 120–140 kilometers north of the Indian border, and also about 18 kilometers upstream from the Rasuwagharhi-Ghorong border crossing between Nepal and China.

The main concern is precisely this hydrological connection: the water flowing out of this area passes through Nepal and eventually enters the Gandak River, which then flows into Bihar. According to data published by China, the water level in the barrier lake is rising rapidly. Hydrogeological calculations show that the lake has already accumulated about 2 million cubic meters of water, with another 3 million cubic meters potentially accumulating behind the natural dam.

If the water pressure increases and the natural dam breaks, the situation could be classified as a Glacial Lake Outburst Flood (GLOF). In such a case, the water will not rise gradually but will rush down at tremendous speed, carrying stones, earth, trees, and debris. Chinese authorities have begun real-time flood modeling over the next 72 hours to understand the trajectory and speed of water spread in case of damage or dam breach. The warning was issued by China's Ministry of Water Resources and scientific circles around 3:30 AM on August 27.

The key question is whether there will simply be an overflow or a complete dam breach. These two scenarios carry different levels of threat: a slow release would give downstream residents more time to prepare, whereas a sudden breach would result in the arrival of a powerful wave in a very short time.

To understand the full picture, it is necessary to examine the river route. The waters of the Chochhen Hola and Purepu Tsangpo further integrate into Nepal's river system. The water connected to the Bhote Koshi flows towards the Trisuli River, which then flows into the Narayani or Gandak. It is this river that exits Nepal into Indian territory. Thus, although the lake is located near the border of China and Nepal, its water flow is connected to the river basin affecting Bihar and Uttar Pradesh. Therefore, people in the lower reaches should remain vigilant in case of a sharp rise in water levels in the upper basin.

This warning comes against the backdrop of recent destruction in Nepal caused by floods in the Bhote Koshi River. In areas such as Rasuwa, Nuwakot, and Dhading, homes, roads, and bridges have been damaged. Debris carried by the river has affected many settlements, and many people are still considered missing. Continuous monitoring of the river flow and upper catchments is underway after the floods, making China's fresh warning even more significant.

Over the next three days, the most important aspects will be the rise in water level in the barrier lake, the stability of the natural dam, and the volume and speed of water release in case of failure. This is why China is conducting continuous flood modeling. While this does not automatically predict a major flood in India, given the recent disasters in Nepal and the lake's connection to the Gandak river system, heightened preparedness is crucial in the coastal areas of Bihar and Uttar Pradesh. The next 72 hours will determine whether the lake remains stable or if its water suddenly rushes down.