According to the business activity survey published by the Central Bank of the Republic of Uzbekistan, the share of entrepreneurs in Tashkent and the Tashkent region who reported an improvement in business conditions reached 53 percent in the second quarter of 2026. This figure demonstrates an increase of three percentage points compared to 50 percent recorded in the same period of 2025.
The research results show that 51 percent of respondents noted an increase in order volumes, whereas this indicator was 47 percent in Q2 2025. Furthermore, 50 percent of participating enterprises reported an increase in production volume, which is higher than 43 percent a year earlier.
Entrepreneurs also pointed to growing demand for additional labor—43 percent of surveyed business owners noted this growth compared to 41 percent a year earlier. Additionally, 43 percent noted an increase in cargo transportation volumes, rising from 42 percent in 2025. Meanwhile, 37 percent of respondents reported higher payments on loans and debt servicing, which is higher than 36 percent in the corresponding period of 2025.
The annual increase in industrial capacity utilization in regional enterprises amounted to 18 percentage points.
Forecasts for the upcoming quarter
Forecasts for the next quarter indicate sustained optimism. It is expected that 51 percent of entrepreneurs predict an increase in order volumes, which is higher than 50 percent in 2025. Moreover, 46 percent expect an expansion of production volume, compared to 45 percent a year ago. It is projected that the demand for additional labor will increase by 45 percent among respondents, exceeding 44 percent in Q2 2025. Order growth is expected primarily in the manufacturing, agricultural, and construction sectors.
Long-term expectations have also significantly risen: 82 percent of surveyed entrepreneurs expressed confidence in the overall economic and business environment over the next three years. This represents an increase of 25 percentage points compared to 57 percent registered in the second quarter of 2025.

