A resurgence of southwest monsoon activity is being observed. A low-pressure area formed over the Bay of Bengal is beginning to move inland. This could lead to a new period of rains in early September across various parts of Eastern, Central, and North India, according to forecasts from the Meteorological Department (IMD). The Meteorological Department reports that the probability of rainfall will persist in many regions even during the last month of the monsoon.
According to IMD, this low-pressure system is currently situated over the districts of West Bengal adjacent to the northern coast of Odisha, and northwest of the Bay of Bengal. It is projected to move in a west-northwest direction. Its influence may intensify rainfall activity in many parts of Eastern and Central India. The most susceptible areas to this weather system are Odisha, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal, and Jharkhand.
The Meteorological Department had forecasted heavy and very heavy rains in West Bengal and Jharkhand on August 31. Meanwhile, heavy rains are expected in Odisha and Chhattisgarh until September 1. In Odisha, extremely heavy precipitation is forecast in some places on August 31. Similarly, there is a possibility of extremely heavy rains in certain areas of Chhattisgarh on August 31. Over the next 24 hours, the low-pressure area may shift from North Odisha and West Bengal towards the west-northwest.
Even after the movement of the low-pressure area, there are no signs of a complete cessation of rains in this region. According to the latest seasonal assessment, the rainy period may continue in some parts of Chhattisgarh and Central India. Rainfall is predicted over a vast area of Western Madhya Pradesh from September 2 to 5, which could sustain active weather in Central India at the beginning of September.
Due to the influence of the low-pressure area and the monsoon trough, rains may continue in parts of North India. IMD forecasts localized and scattered rains in Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Punjab, and Western Uttar Pradesh from August 31 to September 5. Heavy rains are possible in Eastern Uttar Pradesh until September 5. Very heavy rain is also forecast in some places on August 31. Western Uttar Pradesh may experience a period of heavy rains in early September. For Delhi and the surrounding northern plains, this means there are still no clear signs of the monsoon receding. Intermittent rains are possible in early September, although the intensity of precipitation will not be uniform across all areas.
September is the final month of the southwest monsoon. Although monsoon activity is gradually changing during this period, according to the latest seasonal forecasts, rains may continue in many parts of the country. There is a possibility of heavier precipitation in some parts of Eastern, Central, and North India. Currently, the monsoon trough extends from Amritsar through parts of North India to the low-pressure area located over West Bengal and Odisha. Thus, early September may bring rains to many states. However, the distribution of precipitation across the country will not be uniform, and rainfall activity may remain limited in some regions.
