Yamaha shows caution in electric vehicle development due to reliance on imported battery cells
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Yamaha shows caution in electric vehicle development due to reliance on imported battery cells

Yamaha Motor India is taking a measured approach to actively expanding in the domestic electric two-wheeler market. Reasons for this include a strong dependence on imported battery cells, declining profit margins, and supply chain constraints, according to Hajime Aota, Executive Director of Yamaha Motor Co Ltd, on Thursday.

Speaking to journalists at the global launch event for the YZF-R2 model manufactured in India, Aota, who is also the CMD of Yamaha Motor India group, noted that the lack of a fully localized lithium-ion cell supply chain remains the main obstacle for global manufacturers entering the core electric vehicle segment.

He emphasized that despite efforts, cells and raw materials are still sourced from outside India. According to Aota, until domestic cell production and an integrated supply chain are established, cost optimization and supply reliability will remain significant challenges.

Aota pointed out that the battery requirements for electric motorcycles constitute about one-tenth the power of passenger cars, which makes justifying the creation of specialized local battery cell production solely based on two-wheeler demand difficult.

Impact of Transition to Electric Powertrains

Highlighting the impact on profitability, Aota explained that the shift from internal combustion engines (ICE) to electric powertrains fundamentally changes the manufacturing chain. He clarified that when producing traditional motorcycles, the company manufactures the engines itself, which generates the primary manufacturing value and profit. However, with electric vehicles, purchasing cells and motors from external suppliers reduces the automaker's role primarily to assembly, putting significant pressure on margins.

Aota also noted the difference in Yamaha's market position as a wholly-owned subsidiary compared to local companies whose shares are listed on the stock exchange. He stated that capital allocation must consider the expectations of global shareholders regarding profitability, rather than chasing short-term market share at the expense of financial results.

Regarding consumer adoption trends, Yamaha market research indicates that purchasing electric scooters in India is most often a pragmatic decision driven by family needs and intended for secondary household use, contrasting with Yamaha's primary focus on performance-oriented individual mobility.

Despite these short-term difficulties, Aota assured that Yamaha is actively studying its pricing strategy and considering alternative powertrain architectures. The company has invested in a French mobility firm to study clutch-based regenerative braking systems aimed at increasing efficiency without compromising motorcycle dynamics and handling.

Furthermore, Aota presented the company's forecast for the two-wheeler segment, covering production benchmarking, regulatory compliance, sales targets, and potential capital structure options.

Yamaha forecasts that total sales and production in domestic and export markets will exceed 1.1 million units in the current calendar year. This represents a growth of approximately 10 percent compared to the roughly 1.0 million units achieved last year. He added that sales volume will be higher in the second half of the year than in the first, thanks to the festive season. Nevertheless, rising raw material prices, especially aluminum, continue to put pressure on profitability, requiring a balance between price adjustments and absorbing input costs.

Domestic Market Dynamics and Regulation

Commenting on domestic market dynamics, Aota specified that Yamaha's overall market share of about 3 percent does not reflect its core competitiveness, as the company deliberately avoids the low-budget segment for daily commuting. He stressed that the market share figure for the entire motorcycle industry is not their main benchmark, as they do not participate in the low-displacement motorcycle segment (100-110 cc), focusing exclusively on the premium segment.

Discussing the regulatory framework, Aota expressed conditional support for India's ethanol blending program aimed at reducing crude oil imports, while calling on policymakers to ensure long-term regulatory stability. He stated that the company is pleased to support the transition to E20. However, if policies change drastically every two years from E20 to E30, manufacturers would have to completely redesign engines. A stable multi-year schedule would allow for optimizing engine development cycles and effectively amortizing investments. He also added that technologies such as Exhaust Gas Recirculation (EGR) under upcoming CAFE norms create significant cost absorption barriers for low-displacement two-wheelers.

On production quality matters, Aota noted that Yamaha is actively comparing its Indian operations with Indonesia—another major global production hub for the group. He stated that looking at future market growth, India is a high-growth and large market. Although the company is expanding capacity here, its goal is to bring Indian production up to Indonesian levels in terms of quality and technical optimization.

Yamaha's R&D department in India has grown to approximately 280 employees. This is supported by a continuous engineering exchange program that sends Indian engineers to the headquarters in Japan for one to two years to establish technical and production processes.

When asked whether Yamaha Motor India would consider listing on local stock exchanges to match local competitors and gain access to public capital, Aota acknowledged that this option had been considered at the group level. He noted that there are pros and cons to operating as a locally listed entity versus functioning as a wholly-owned subsidiary accountable to global shareholders, but declined to go into detail about timelines.

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Experts note the need to increase energy storage capacity amid the growth of renewable energy
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Experts note the need to increase energy storage capacity amid the growth of renewable energy

Industry participants stated that the growing capacity of renewable energy sources creates an urgent need to expand storage systems, highlighting a significant gap between demand and current production capabilities for key battery cell components.

Industry members also warned that dependence on imports should not be seen as a reason to slow down technology adoption. These remarks are particularly important because domestic battery production in India currently accounts for less than one percent (2 GWh) of the planned demand of 260 GWh from competitive tenders in 2026.

As noted by Hanish Gupta, founder and managing director of Sunkind India, Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) and pumped storage projects are becoming increasingly vital with the expansion of India's renewable capacity to meet growing electricity demand and balance solar generation with peak demand.

Vinay Rustagi, Chief Commercial Officer of Premier Energies, stated that batteries and other storage technologies are critical to solving the intermittency problem of solar energy and unlocking its growth potential.

Piyush Goyal, CEO and co-founder of Volks Energie, reported that the demand for energy storage in India significantly outpaces domestic cell manufacturing capabilities, and this deficit is a matter of several years, not just a few quarters. He added: 'I would advise against using import dependency as an excuse to slow down adoption. The grid now needs storage to stabilize the added renewable capacity, and a decade-long pause until full localization of cells is a choice we cannot make.'

In a public statement, NTPC Chairman Gurdeep Singh indicated that storage systems benefit in two ways. Energy generated during the day from renewable sources can be stored and used when there is no sunlight. He reported that NTPC has received an allocation of 5 GWh capacity for Battery Energy Storage Systems under the Viability Gap Funding scheme to optimize existing thermal generation and transmission infrastructure, ensuring reliable and economical power supply during non-sunny hours.

According to a recent Wood Mackenzie study conducted last week, India will not be able to achieve self-sufficiency in battery storage for more than a decade due to a huge discrepancy between demand and the current ability to produce necessary battery cell components. The study also noted that this gap leads to structural dependence on imports, despite accelerating political ambitions, indicating that India only has 2 GWh of operational cell manufacturing capacity for 2026, while China's total capacity is 2695 GWh, controlling 85 to 98 percent of the global volume across all major supply chain components, from cathode to anode, separator, and electrolyte.

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