Brazil will face rapid climate changes, shifting from frost to storms, according to Inmet forecast
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Brazil will face rapid climate changes, shifting from frost to storms, according to Inmet forecast

Due to the passage of a low-pressure area at higher altitudes in the atmosphere, the weather in Brazil will undergo significant transformations this Tuesday (25th) and Wednesday (26th). Inmet forecasts that the Center-West, Southeast, and northern South regions will experience a higher incidence of clouds, rain, and thunderstorms, with potential for storms and hail in certain locations.

Meanwhile, in the North and Northeast areas, hot and dry weather conditions are expected to persist across most of the territory. In the South, although the cold is beginning to decrease, there is still a possibility of frost occurring.

The movement of this atmospheric system should drive the formation of heavy clouds, intensifying the chances of heavy rains. This change will be most noticeable in the Center-West and Southeast regions.

Detailed regional forecasts

The state of Mato Grosso do Sul will concentrate a considerable portion of precipitation in the Center-West region, with showers accompanied by thunderstorms predicted for Wednesday. Isolated rain may also occur in southern Goiás, southern Mato Grosso, and the Federal District.

In the Southeast, the presence of many clouds has already been observed since Tuesday morning. Rain is expected on the northern coast of Rio de Janeiro and Espírito Santo. In the afternoon, rain should reach parts of São Paulo, Minas Gerais, and other areas of Rio de Janeiro.

On Wednesday, the weather will become more unstable. São Paulo and southern Rio de Janeiro may record thunderstorms, while Minas Gerais and other areas of Rio de Janeiro will have rain showers. Inmet maintained a yellow alert for potential danger of storms in much of São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro.

In terms of temperature, São Paulo will remain cold, with a minimum of 14°C and a maximum of 20°C. In Rio de Janeiro, thermometers will fluctuate between 16°C and 27°C.

Tuesday starts with the possibility of frost in much of Rio Grande do Sul and the Catarinense Range. Paraná and Santa Catarina may also present isolated rain.

Intensification of rains in the South

On Wednesday, the intensity of the rain will increase. Paraná may record showers with thunderstorms, and Santa Catarina will also have areas under rain. There is a yellow warning for potential danger of storms valid for all of Paraná and western Santa Catarina.

In Porto Alegre, the predicted minimum temperature is 5°C, and the occurrence of frost in lower areas of the city has not been ruled out.

In the North, Roraima and Amazonas are the areas where the main rains are concentrated. On the other hand, Tocantins, as well as the south and southeast of Pará, should maintain stable weather and low air humidity.

Conditions in the Northeast

In the Northeast, rain tends to be more limited to the coastal strip, while the interior will be dominated by heat, little cloud cover, and dry air. In Teresina, temperatures may reach 37°C.

The most significant climate change will occur between Tuesday and Wednesday, a period when the increase in clouds and rain will affect the Center-West, Southeast, and South regions, raising the risk of storms in several states.

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Most of Brazil to face intense heat up to 40°C, with storms expected in Rio Grande do Sul
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Most of Brazil to face intense heat up to 40°C, with storms expected in Rio Grande do Sul

A significant part of Brazil is expected to face intense heat and very dry air, with maximum temperatures potentially approaching 40°C between Tuesday (the 18th) and Wednesday (the 19th). Simultaneously, storms are forecast for Rio Grande do Sul.

The low humidity warning applies to almost all regions, with the lowest readings recorded in the Central-West region and southern Amazonia. However, instability and heavy rains are concentrated in the western part of the North region and along the Northeast coastal strip.

Regional Weather Forecast

Weather in Rio Grande do Sul is expected to be highly unstable. The state is forecast to experience heavy rains, thunderstorms, and a risk of storms, with possible precipitation accumulation exceeding 100 mm in southern Gaucho. In Porto Alegre (RS), daytime temperatures will rise from 18°C on Tuesday to 25°C on Wednesday. In Paraná and most of Santa Catarina, the weather will remain more open and warm. Northern Paraná draws attention due to low air humidity levels.

This region is predicted to have prevailing sunshine, high temperatures, and dry air inland. INMET has issued a low humidity danger warning for northwestern São Paulo and western Minas Gerais. Coastal areas of São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro should see more cloud cover, with a possibility of light rain in southern São Paulo. Nights inland in Minas Gerais remain cold, with lows reaching 9°C. Maximums of 31°C are forecast for Belo Horizonte (MG) and Rio de Janeiro (RJ).

Heat and extreme drought should dominate all states in the region and the Federal District. Relative humidity is dropping to critical levels, fluctuating between 12% and 15%. Clear skies and scattered clouds are expected in most cities. Only northwestern Mato Grosso may register fast and isolated rain. Temperatures are expected to rise rapidly, with a maximum potentially reaching 39°C in Cuiabá (MT), 38°C in Campo Grande (MS), and 30°C in Brasília (DF).

Heat and sunny weather are forecast for the interior Northeast, while a low humidity warning has been issued for southern Maranhão, Piauí, and western Bahia. In Teresina (PI), thermometers may show values ranging from 20°C to 37°C. Rain is expected to concentrate along the coastal strip, from the eastern coast of Bahia to Pernambuco and Rio Grande do Norte, with isolated downpours. In coastal capitals such as Fortaleza (CE), temperatures should be more moderate, ranging from 22°C to 31°C.

Dry weather and intense heat will dominate Tocantins, Rondônia, southern Paraná, and southeastern Amazonia—regions under a low humidity warning. A maximum of 38°C is forecast for Porto Velho (RO), while Palmas (TO) will show a minimum of 21°C. Rain is expected to be more concentrated in the west of the region. Acre, Amazonas, Roraima, as well as the coastal strip of Paraná and Amapá, have forecasts of isolated showers with thunderstorms.

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