Kenya plans to import maize due to drought in major agricultural areas
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CGTN
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Kenya plans to import maize due to drought in major agricultural areas

Kenya may face renewed food security challenges after a poor harvest, caused by failed rains, severely undermined the position of maize farmers in the Northern Rift region—one of the country's key production areas.

The Northern Rift is a significant source of maize for Kenya, historically supplying over 40% of the total national supply. A poor harvest in this region could have far-reaching consequences, potentially putting pressure on maize stocks and leading to an increase in the price of maize flour, which is a staple food for millions of households.

Farmers are already feeling the negative impact of this situation. Victor Kiprop, one of the farmers, noted: 'I have nothing left from my farm. It is a big loss for my pocket. It is very serious.'

Months of insufficient rainfall have caused crops to struggle during critical growth stages, raising concerns about maize availability in the coming months.

Sammi Chepsiror, Managing Director of Kenya Seed Company, described the current situation as unprecedented in his experience. He stated: 'It is very difficult. In my experience as a public servant, we have not seen a drought of this scale directly affecting farmers.'

The reduction in maize yield could trigger a chain reaction in Kenya's food markets. As local grain supply decreases, demand for maize from other producing regions may rise, and the country might have to rely more heavily on imports to cover potential shortages.

For consumers, this could result in higher prices for maize flour and other products made from it. The impact may be particularly felt by low-income families who spend a significant portion of their income on food.

The recent crop losses also highlight the growing problem of weather unpredictability for Kenyan farmers. Uneven rainfall, prolonged dry spells, and changing weather patterns make it difficult for farmers to plan planting and harvesting seasons.

For communities heavily dependent on rain-fed agriculture, a poor harvest means not only a loss of crops but also a loss of income and an increase in debt obligations. The situation raises concerns about whether Kenya will have enough maize to meet demand in the coming months. However, for farmers in the Northern Rift, the immediate concern is recovery after a season that has left many with little or nothing to harvest.

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Unused crops could form the basis of climate-resilient agriculture in South Africa
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foodformzansi.co.za

Unused crops could form the basis of climate-resilient agriculture in South Africa

Local African crops, such as pigeon peas, amadumbe, and others, demonstrate potential as agricultural industry transformers. According to scientist Dr. Mathele Lehlogonolo, transitioning to sustainable local varieties helps protect farm yields and household nutrition amid global supply chain instability.

Modern global agriculture is experiencing one of the most complex periods in history, driven by a combination of geopolitical tensions, climate instability, and economic difficulties. The consequences of conflicts in strategic zones, disruptions in fertilizer and fuel supplies, rising food prices, and unpredictable weather are felt worldwide. Farmers face increasing production costs, while consumers see price hikes and uncertainty regarding future food availability.

Recent disruptions in the Middle East, particularly around vital trade routes like the Strait of Hormuz, have highlighted the vulnerability of the global food system. Fertilizers, fuel, and agricultural resources move through these routes, and any disruption immediately leads to increased global production costs. Furthermore, humanitarian organizations warn that millions of people could face hunger as global food systems weaken further.

Climate change exacerbates the situation. The current La Niña phenomenon causes severe drought in some regions and catastrophic flooding in others. South Africa has experienced recurring climate shocks over the last decade, and scientists warn of a possible strong El Niño event in late 2026, which could significantly impact the region's agriculture.

As these crises converge, many countries are reviewing their food systems. Instead of excessive reliance on global supply chains, governments and agricultural stakeholders are focusing on regional resilience, local seed systems, and crops capable of withstanding environmental and economic shocks.

For South Africa, this global uncertainty raises an important question: are we relying too heavily on a narrow range of crops, ignoring sustainable local and underutilized alternatives?

For decades, South African agriculture has primarily focused on large commercial crops such as maize, wheat, soy, and sunflower. While these crops remain important, dependence on a limited number of varieties increases vulnerability to climate change, pests, diseases, and market shocks.

Undervalued and underutilized crops have historically received little investment in research, limited support for knowledge extension, and minimal commercial attention. Nevertheless, many of these crops have evolved in harsh African conditions and possess characteristics that make them highly valuable in today's uncertain agricultural environment. These crops offer three key advantages: climate resilience, nutritional diversification, and reduced dependence on external resources.

While fertilizer prices fluctuate and weather conditions become increasingly unpredictable, these advantages could prove transformative.

Pigeon peas are often called the 'poor man's meat' due to their high protein content. However, this humble crop is increasingly recognized as a climate-resilient crop of the future. Pigeon peas grow well in hot and dry conditions where many traditional crops struggle to survive. They require relatively little water, can fix atmospheric nitrogen, and naturally improve soil fertility.

For smallholder farmers in Limpopo, KwaZulu-Natal, Mpumalanga, and North West, pigeon peas offer an affordable and reliable option for maintaining productivity during droughts. Beyond the farm, pigeon peas contribute significantly to household nutrition. Their grains provide protein, fiber, vitamins, and minerals, which is especially important for vulnerable communities facing rising food prices. As fertilizer costs continue to rise due to global geopolitical tensions, the ability of pigeon peas to naturally improve soil fertility becomes even more valuable.

Amadumbe, also known as taro, has been cultivated in parts of South Africa for generations, particularly in the provinces of KwaZulu-Natal and Mpumalanga. Despite its long history, amadumbe remains largely underutilized in commercial agriculture. This crop possesses remarkable adaptability. It tolerates waterlogged conditions better than many staple crops, making it particularly useful in areas experiencing increased flooding due to climate change. Its tubers are rich in carbohydrates and easily digestible, and its leaves contain valuable vitamins and minerals. As extreme rainfall becomes more frequent in parts of South Africa, amadumbe can offer farmers a practical adaptation strategy. Fields unsuitable for traditional crops in wet years could potentially support amadumbe production. Moreover, growing consumer interest in local produce creates opportunities for value-added products and local market development.

Cassava is one of the world's most drought-resistant food crops. Often called a 'survival crop,' it can continue to produce in conditions that would severely reduce maize yields. This characteristic makes cassava particularly attractive for drier provinces and regions of South Africa prone to prolonged droughts. Unlike many crops requiring immediate harvesting, cassava roots can remain in the ground for extended periods, effectively serving as a living food reserve. This provides households with a valuable buffer during food shortages or market instability. Cassava also requires a relatively low level of fertilizer and can grow well in marginal soils. As global uncertainty in fertilizer supply chains grows, cassava can help reduce farmers' dependence on expensive imported resources while enhancing food security.

Although less known to many South Africans, pigeon peas are gaining global attention for their nutritional value and adaptability. Pigeon peas mature quickly, often within two to three months, allowing farmers to incorporate them into intercropping systems or use them as cover crops. The crop is relatively drought-tolerant and contributes to soil fertility through nitrogen fixation. Nutritionally, pigeon peas are rich in protein, vitamins, antioxidants, and dietary fiber. The growing popularity of this crop in health-focused markets opens opportunities for farmers seeking access to niche and premium markets. In the future, where diversified farming systems are becoming increasingly vital, pigeon peas can play a valuable role in both ensuring food security and generating income.

The value of these crops extends beyond individual farms. Collectively, pigeon peas, amadumbe, cassava, and pigeon peas contribute to agricultural diversification, which is increasingly recognized as one of the most effective strategies for enhancing resilience to climate and market shocks. Diversified farming systems as a whole are better equipped to withstand droughts, floods, pest outbreaks, and economic turmoil because farmers are not dependent on a single crop. These crops also align closely with agroecological principles, promoting biodiversity, improving soil health, reducing reliance on synthetic inputs, supporting sustainable production systems, and strengthening local food systems.

As South Africa seeks paths toward more sustainable and viable agriculture, undervalued and underutilized crops offer practical solutions already adapted to local conditions.

Realizing the potential of these crops requires investment. Farmers need access to quality seeds, improved varieties, knowledge extension services, and markets. Strengthening farmer-managed seed systems, community seed banks, and on-farm conservation initiatives will be crucial. Various initiatives are underway across South Africa aimed at conserving and propagating plant genetic resources for food and agriculture. These efforts help ensure that valuable crop diversity is not lost and that farmers retain access to locally adapted planting material. Co-breeding programs involving researchers and farmers can further enhance the productivity, resilience, and marketability of these crops while preserving their unique genetic traits.

The current global food crisis serves as a warning that status quo approaches may no longer be sufficient. South Africa cannot control geopolitical conflicts, global fertilizer markets, or extreme weather events. However, it can strengthen its resilience by investing in crops that have quietly supported communities for generations. Pigeon peas, amadumbe, cassava, and pigeon peas may not dominate supermarket shelves today, but they possess many of the characteristics necessary for the agriculture of tomorrow: resilience, adaptability, nutritional value, and ecological soundness. In a world facing growing uncertainty, the future of food security may depend not only on adopting new technologies or importing external solutions. It may also depend on rediscovering and investing in crops that have long remained unnoticed. As climate pressure intensifies and global supply chains become more fragile, South Africa's undervalued and underutilized crops may transition from the periphery of agriculture to the center of the nation's food security strategy.

Rising Electricity Tariffs Threaten Competitiveness of South African Agricultural Exports
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foodformzansi.co.za

Rising Electricity Tariffs Threaten Competitiveness of South African Agricultural Exports

South Africa's agricultural exports face a serious obstacle—a sharp increase in electricity tariffs. Economist NAMC Bublebemvelo Dubbe analyzes how rising energy costs jeopardize global competitiveness, the profitability of farms, and long-term food security.

The rise in electricity tariffs is becoming an increasingly significant threat to the competitiveness of South Africa's agriculture. The export of irrigated horticultural crops critically depends on affordable and reliable electricity. However, tariff increases, including an average rise of 12.74% approved by the National Energy Regulator of South Africa (NERSA), are increasing production costs at a time when agricultural exports are already under pressure from higher tariffs, non-tariff measures, and changing geopolitical and trade conditions.

As energy-intensive production systems become more prevalent, energy policy is increasingly turning into a matter of agricultural trade.

South Africa consumes between 180 and 205 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh) of electricity annually. According to Stats SA data, the total electricity generation in 2024 was 214,562 gigawatt-hours (GWh), which is 1.7% less than in 2021 (225,833 GWh).

Coal remains the primary source of generation, accounting for 82.7% (177,334 GWh) of the total. This indicates a strong dependence of South Africa's energy supply on fossil fuels. Coal-based electricity generation has decreased from 212,761 GWh in 2016 to 177,334 GWh in 2024, reflecting a gradual shift in the energy balance, although coal continues to dominate. Renewable sources contributed 9.0% (19,408 GWh), and nuclear energy contributed 3.8% (8,226 GWh).

Between 2016 and 2024, the share of coal generation decreased the most (-7.1 percentage points), falling from 89.8% to 82.7%, while renewable energy showed the largest growth (+6.9 percentage points), increasing from 2.1% to 9.0%. In 2024, no less than 368 billion rand in electricity was distributed.

Graph 1 shows South Africa's continued reliance on coal-based electricity amid steady demand growth from the agricultural sector. Among the main electricity consumers, agriculture is one of the few sectors that has shown consistent growth in electricity consumption over time. This trend is likely to continue as irrigation systems, mechanization, and cold chain infrastructure expand.

Consequently, recent NERSA tariff hikes, as noted by most economists, could have significant consequences for agricultural exports, especially because South Africa's export portfolio is increasingly concentrating on electricity-intensive horticultural products. These consequences become evident when examining South Africa's export profile. Graph 2 demonstrates that the top agricultural exports are oranges ($1.16 billion), fresh grapes ($927.7 million), mandarins ($808.5 million), maize ($721.8 million), and fresh apples ($648.6 million).

With the exception of maize, these high-value sectors heavily rely on irrigation, cooling, and cold chain logistics, making reliable and affordable electricity central to maintaining export competitiveness. Thus, higher electricity tariffs affect not only farm production costs but also the competitiveness of South Africa's exports in global markets.

The competitiveness of South Africa's agriculture has been supported by significant investments in irrigation systems, packing houses, cold storage facilities, and other capital-intensive infrastructure that requires a stable power supply. This explains why agriculture accounts for a growing share of electricity consumption, as shown in Graph 3. Although agriculture accounts for about 4% of distributed electricity, the sector has demonstrated an average annual growth rate of 10.2%, highlighting the rapidly growing demand for electricity as agricultural production becomes more technologically advanced and export-oriented.

These investments have contributed to strong growth in South Africa's agricultural exports over the last decade. However, they have also increased the sector's vulnerability to rising electricity costs. Further increases in electricity prices, combined with ongoing volatility in domestic and global energy markets, pose a growing challenge to farm profitability, export competitiveness, and ultimately, food security.

Since electricity is becoming one of the main production costs after labor for many commercial farming enterprises, especially in irrigated agriculture, future tariff decisions are likely to impact the competitiveness of South Africa's agricultural exports. South Africa's energy sector is undergoing transformation. While recent operational improvements by Eskom are welcomed, electricity prices continue to pose significant difficulties for electricity-intensive agricultural industries.

Therefore, current governance reforms, including changes in tariff structure, must be implemented in a way that considers the strategic importance of export agriculture. Specifically, the division and redistribution of levies within the new tariff structure require careful consideration to ensure that future tariff increases do not disproportionately affect productive sectors dependent on electricity for irrigation, storage, and processing.

Attention should also be paid to developing demand charges so that the cost of electricity more accurately reflects actual consumption. Achieving a competitive, transparent, and predictable electricity pricing system will remain a crucial condition for sustaining agricultural exports, investment, and long-term food security.

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