According to the Delhi Master Plan for 2047 (MPD-2047), the population of India's capital, Delhi, is projected to increase from the current 22.6 million in 2026 to approximately 32 million by 2047. It is planned that the population will reach 24.8 million by 2031, 26.9 million by 2036, and 29.2 million by 2041.
This projected growth places a significant strain on basic services, raising questions about the speed of necessary infrastructure construction. MPD-2047 is oriented towards an infrastructure-driven growth model, where new construction will be determined by the availability of roads, public transport, water supply, sewerage, drainage, electricity, and digital communication.
Water supply may become the main constraint for Delhi
Water supply represents one of the most complex challenges. In 2021, Delhi's water supply volume was 935 million gallons per day (MGD) against an estimated demand of 1380 MGD. By 2047, the Delhi Jal Board (DJB) forecasts a drinking water requirement of about 1600 MGD, necessitating an additional volume of 401 MGD. This extra volume is planned to be secured through short- and medium-term measures (110 MGD) and medium- to long-term interventions (291 MGD).
The detailed plan for increasing water supply, based on the current availability of about 1000 MGD, involves adding 401 MGD, bringing the total availability to 1401 MGD by 2047. Nevertheless, this still leaves a substantial gap compared to the forecasted demand of 1600 MGD. Furthermore, the proposed supply partially depends on projects outside Delhi. The medium- and long-term plan includes 275 MGD from water harvesting projects in the Renukaji, Lakhwar, and Kishau rivers, although the document notes that this estimate is highly preliminary. MPD-2047 indicates that the increase in surface water will depend on cooperation with the states of Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, and Himachal Pradesh, as well as intervention from the Central Government.
The problem of large volumes of sewage
Increased water supply for a growing population inevitably leads to an increase in the volume of sewage requiring collection and treatment. MPD estimates that a population of 32 million people, consuming 50 gallons per capita per day, will generate about 1280 MGD of sewage, assuming 80 percent of supplied water becomes wastewater. Currently, Delhi has a sewage treatment capacity of 814 MGD, with about 744 MGD being treated. The detailed plan for 2047 targets a total treatment capacity of 1285 MGD, which will consist of the existing capacity of 814 MGD, an additional capacity of 231 MGD, and 240 MGD through decentralized treatment plants in land consolidation zones.
Moreover, there is a network coverage issue: according to the plan, only about 83 percent of Delhi's population is currently connected to the sewerage network.
Drainage: Growth amid recurring flooding
Infrastructure expansion for a larger population will require not only increased supply volumes but also solutions for water movement in an increasingly built-up city. MPD identifies recurring flooding and inundation as issues requiring a long-term approach to drainage. The plan calls for the implementation of more efficient stormwater infrastructure and low-cost flood prevention measures, including wetland restoration, using parks for rainwater harvesting, and preventing solid waste from entering drainage systems.
The Delhi Drainage Master Plan, being prepared by the Delhi government, aims to address drainage issues over the next 30 years in the face of rapid urban growth and frequent flooding. The plan also stipulates that new construction must ensure no increase in overall runoff using methods such as ponds, parks, permeable pavements, green belts, and rainwater harvesting structures.
Delhi may generate almost twice as much waste
Waste management is another area that will sharply increase along with the population. Estimates suggest that Delhi generates 13,500 tons of municipal solid waste per day in 2026. By 2047, this figure is projected to rise to 25,764 tons per day, representing an increase of approximately 91 percent. MPD notes that currently, only about 47.5 percent of municipal solid waste is recycled, with the rest being deposited in landfills in Bhalswa, Ghazipur, and Okhla. Existing landfills have already exceeded their capacity, forcing Delhi to manage both legacy waste and a significantly larger future stream simultaneously.
The plan provides for the use of reclaimed landfills for future waste processing infrastructure and the creation of sanitary engineering dumps, and additional capacity for biomethanization and other types of treatment will be required to manage the projected increase in waste.
Peak electricity demand could reach 25,500 MW
Energy demand presents another major requirement for expansion. In 2021, Delhi's traditional power generation capacity was 7,161 megawatts (MW), with an additional 923 MW provided through power purchase agreements and renewable energy partnerships. MPD forecasts that peak electricity demand could reach 25,500 MW by 2047.
The Delhi Transco plan illustrates how this demand reflects on physical infrastructure. Currently, Delhi has 43 substations at the 220 kilovolt (kV) level; four are in the pipeline or under development, and MPD-2047 proposes adding 37 more 220 kV substations. At the 400 kV level, there are eight substations, two of which are in the pipeline, and it is proposed to build 10 more. Two additional 765 kV substations are also proposed. Expansion also requires land parcels: according to revised guidelines from the Central Power Authority, a 220 kV substation must occupy at least 10,000 square meters, and a 400 kV substation must occupy at least 40,000 square meters.
MPD establishes infrastructure as a condition for growth
MPD-2047 does not provide a simple answer to whether Delhi's infrastructure can support 32 million people. Instead, it details the scale of infrastructure that needs to be built, expanded, or modernized before such a population arrives. By 2047, Delhi will need to provide about 1600 MGD of drinking water, treat about 1280 MGD of sewage, manage 25,764 tons of municipal waste daily, and meet a peak electricity demand of 25,500 MW. Simultaneously, issues related to sewerage gaps, recurring flooding, and the sustainability of existing infrastructure must be addressed. Thus, the task is not merely accommodating 32 million people, but ensuring the readiness of the infrastructure required for them.



