India's 5G adoption expected to reach 62% by 2030, outpacing the APAC average
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Business Standard
business-standard.com

India's 5G adoption expected to reach 62% by 2030, outpacing the APAC average

According to the GSMA Mobile Economy Asia Pacific 2026 report, the level of 5G adoption in India is projected to reach 62 percent by 2030. This figure exceeds the average for the Asia-Pacific region (APAC), which is expected to be 50 percent.

Within the APAC region, mobile technologies and services are anticipated to contribute $1.4 trillion to the regional economy by 2030, up from $1 trillion currently.

Julian Gorman, Head of the Asia Pacific Region at GSMA, noted that economies and societies across the region are becoming increasingly digital, with mobile networks serving as the foundation for the implementation of artificial intelligence, digital trust, and sustainable digital infrastructure.

Recognition of India as a Leading Country in the Region

The report also identifies India as one of the 'Leading Countries' in the region, alongside Bangladesh, Indonesia, and Pakistan. This classification is based on the view that regulatory modernization plays a crucial role in accelerating the growth of the digital economy and maintaining the sustainability of the mobile industry.

Digital trust is becoming a priority for India, with information security spending expected to increase by 11.7 percent in 2026. Gorman added that as governments pay more attention to digital sovereignty and citizens expect more reliable protection against fraud, deception, and cyber threats, the industry's responsibilities continue to grow.

The report also highlights Indian initiatives such as BharatNet and PMGDISHA, which aim to address issues related to internet access and digital inclusion. Specifically, the PMGDISHA program has trained over 64 million rural citizens in basic digital skills.

According to the report, the coverage gap in South Asia has narrowed from approximately 30 percent to less than 5 percent, as the connectivity issue in India is shifting from network coverage to actual usage and adoption.

In the broader APAC region, operators plan to invest over $200 billion in capital expenditures between 2025 and 2030; however, more than 700 million adults remain offline despite having access to mobile broadband coverage.

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During the celebration of the country's 80th anniversary of independence, Prime Minister Narendra Modi delivered a speech from the Red Fort, emphasizing India's rapid development in the technology sector.

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Currently, many mobile brands such as Apple and Samsung have opened manufacturing facilities in India. Moreover, brands like Apple and Samsung export smartphones produced in India, which benefits India itself. Thanks to the mobile equipment manufacturing capabilities in the country, new employment opportunities have emerged.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi also noted that electronic manufacturing in India has increased by approximately seven times. He stressed that over the last twelve years, India has made significant strides in both the technology sector and other areas.

Modi stated that the country has gained a new pace of development over the past twelve years. He noted that it is impossible to stop more than one hundred forty million citizens of the country. Furthermore, over the past twelve years, defense production has increased by approximately four times, and electronic production by seven times.

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The three major global semiconductor manufacturers—Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron—have already sold all the memory production capacity scheduled for 2027. This signals that those planning to purchase a personal computer or a smartphone must prepare financially.

The central reason for the stock depletion, which occurred between July and August 2026, lies in the intense demand for infrastructure dedicated to artificial intelligence. The market has shifted its focus because the rapid development of AI requires data centers that are highly dependent on memory.

This need generated a demand that exceeded total manufacturing capacity on an unprecedented scale. To avoid delays in their projects, large corporations have begun signing exclusive supply agreements, fearing component shortages. Consequently, the chip market has started operating under a business model that favors suppliers, allowing them to set both the rules and the prices.

With almost all available production already committed, the consumer market will face difficulties. Chen Li-bai, president of hardware manufacturer ADATA, predicts that AI-centric applications will consume approximately 70% of the RAM production capacity.

This implies that the remaining share for supplying notebooks, desktops, and smartphones will be significantly reduced in 2027. Currently, consumer electronics producers can only obtain between 60% and 70% of initial targets or must rely on supplier surpluses.

The increase in the cost of parts and devices is a direct consequence of this scenario. Chey Tae-won, president of SK Group, estimates that overall demand for memory chips will grow by 50% to 60% in 2027, with specific demand for AI-oriented chips potentially jumping by up to 100% compared to 2026 figures.

The impacts of this projection are already visible in the market. It is estimated that the price of RAM will see a global increase of over 40%, while in Brazil, industry executives have already confirmed a 30% price adjustment for memory.

Although analysts predict that the price acceleration observed during 2026 may decrease in 2027, given that most of the production has already been allocated, the value will already be established at high levels. As Lenovo had previously warned, the increase in memory costs has become permanent, and the new industry rule is cost pressure, which will be passed on to the end consumer.

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