According to the South African Grain and Oilseeds Trade Association (Sacota), it became clear during the 2025/26 summer grain production season that South Africa is likely to achieve record harvests of corn and soybeans.
The Association noted that the mid-summer drought observed at the end of January and beginning of February created some uncertainty, but rains resumed in time for most of the country.
The first confirmation of the expected record production came on April 23, 2026, when the Crop Evaluation Committee (CEC) forecasted a corn harvest of 16.8 million tons and a soybean harvest of 2.8 million tons. These expectations of record volume were accompanied by forecasts of price decreases and subsequent reductions in exports.
Previously, initial forecasts for corn were around 3.6 million tons, and for soybeans, 600,000 tons. The South African soybean industry, being relatively new to the export market, faced an additional issue: the yellow corn export program historically receives priority at Durban port export terminals for various reasons, which potentially limits soybean exports, Sacota reported.
The organization stated that due to limited domestic stocks and demand from local processing plants, only a small amount of stock was initially available for export. Consequently, despite the record soybean harvest, sea shipments appeared to be minimal.
Nevertheless, Sacota continued to prepare for the export program. This included the annual export registration program for China, which was launched online. This initiative represented a tripartite cooperation between Sacota, the Directorate of Inspections (Department of Agriculture), and eCert (an online software vendor that facilitates, among other things, phytosanitary certificates for the department).
As Sacota reported, all interested traders, export terminals, and silos had to register according to Chinese requirements. Similarly, the Indonesian market, opened two years ago, also requires exporter registration to access this market.
However, around the same time, China, seeking to stimulate trade with Africa, offered to abolish all import tariffs on agricultural products entering China without any corresponding concessions for Chinese exports.