The monsoon will change its direction again. A new low-pressure area is expected to form in the northwestern part of the Bay of Bengal around August 13. Combined with the already active weather system in the central and eastern parts of the country, this could lead to heavy rainfall in Odisha, Jharkhand, and Chhattisgarh on August 13 and 14. On August 15, rains may reach Eastern Uttar Pradesh and Eastern Madhya Pradesh.
After this, starting from August 16, the monsoon rain zone may shift north, approaching the foothills of Bihar, Nepal, and Eastern Uttar Pradesh. Increased precipitation is forecast in these regions and near the Himalayas. Meanwhile, rainfall in many parts of West, Central, and South India may decrease. This situation could persist until around August 20.
In Odisha, Jharkhand, and Chhattisgarh, the monsoon will be more active from August 13 to 14, with heavy rains possible in many places. On August 15, the influence of rains may also intensify in Eastern Uttar Pradesh and Eastern Madhya Pradesh.
According to meteorologists, the new low-pressure area will not spread far inland like the previous system but will rather shift northward. This will make the monsoon zone very important going forward.
From August 16, heavy rains are possible in Eastern Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Sikkim, sub-Himalayan West Bengal, and Northeast India. This rainy period is likely to last until August 20. The most intense precipitation may fall in the Himalayan foothills. There is a risk of very heavy rains in the mountainous states of North India, as well as in the areas at the foot of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar. Residents of these areas are advised to monitor meteorological information and local warnings.
If the monsoon zone remains in the north after August 16, rainfall in other parts of the country may decrease. The monsoon activity in West, Central, and South India is predicted to be quite weak. This state is called a 'pause' in the monsoon. Currently, there are no signs of a large new system forming in the Bay of Bengal before August 21. However, the rain forecast may change depending on the shift in weather system directions, so the Bay of Bengal and the monsoon zone will be closely monitored in the coming days.

