According to the SBI Research report, the Indian economy is showing significant positive trends. Researchers predict that India's real GDP growth in the first quarter (Q1) of the fiscal year 2026-27 will reach approximately 8%.
This forecast is highly optimistic as it exceeds the estimate provided by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), which projected growth at 7%. This figure indicates the high resilience of India's domestic economic base despite global uncertainty.
SBI Research bases its forecast on detailed analysis and believes that reaching 8% is quite likely. The main drivers of this growth are cited as domestic demand from the population and increased consumer confidence. Data for June 2026 shows that people are actively making purchases and making investments.
The SBI Research team monitors 50 key economic indicators. In the first quarter of the current year, 86% of these indicators showed strengthening and acceleration, compared to about 69% in the same period last year, confirming the acceleration of economic development pace.
Meanwhile, it is expected that GDP growth in major world economies, particularly in China and the US, will only be 2-4%.
In June 2026, annual car sales increased by 24.1%, whereas this figure was 27.3% in May. Additionally, two-wheeler registration grew by 18.7%, and three-wheeler sales increased by 26.1%.
The electric vehicle (EV) sector showed significant growth: its registration in June 2026 increased by 55.3%, substantially higher than the 38.7% recorded in May. This reflects the process of ecological transformation in the automotive industry.
There was also an increase in loans taken by the population, which amounted to 15.8%. The 15.8% increase in demand for personal and consumer loans indicates that the population feels comfortable taking out loans for purchases.
Analysis of other economic indicators shows an 11.5% growth in electricity demand in the country, while diesel consumption rose by 6.2%. This points to the active development of logistics and industrial operations. Thus, all major economic indicators—consumption, industrial activity, services, government spending, and credit growth—are moving in the right direction.

