The monsoon has become active again in Uttar Pradesh, and forecasts predict rainfall with thunderstorms in many parts of the state on August 9. According to meteorological service data, there is a high probability of rain or short-term showers with thunderstorms in western Uttar Pradesh, while rain and thunderstorms are possible in some places in eastern Uttar Pradesh. The possibility of heavy rains is also predicted in both regions.
As part of the forecast, based on the influence, the meteorological service indicated a high probability of heavy rains on August 9 in areas such as Banda, Chitrakoot, Prayagraj, Sonbhadra, Mirzapur, Saharanpur, Jalaun, Hamirpur, Mahoba, Jansi, and Lalitpur, as well as adjacent territories. This means that the weather in several districts of the state may change, and residents should be prepared for situations of flooding due to rain.
For western Uttar Pradesh, the meteorological service predicts a high probability of short-term showers with thunderstorms, as well as the possibility of heavy rains in some places. Continuous rain is not expected in all districts of Western Uttar Pradesh, but only localized precipitation. According to the forecast, a high probability of heavy rain is expected in Saharanpur, and heavy rains may be observed in Jalaun, Hamirpur, Mahoba, Jansi, and Lalitpur and their surroundings.
In eastern Uttar Pradesh, dry weather is also not expected; there is a high probability of thunderstorms in some places. The meteorological service also predicts a high probability of heavy rains in eastern Uttar Pradesh. According to the influence-based forecast, heavy rains are expected in Sonbhadra and Mirzapur, and heavy precipitation is possible in neighboring areas. Furthermore, heavy rains are forecasted in Banda, Chitrakoot, and Prayagraj.
Among the districts where a high probability of heavy rains is forecasted for August 9 are Banda, Chitrakoot, Prayagraj, Sonbhadra, Mirzapur, Saharanpur, Jalaun, Hamirpur, Mahoba, Jansi, and Lalitpur. There is also a possibility of heavy precipitation in adjacent areas. Residents of these districts are advised to monitor weather changes, especially in low-lying areas and places where flooding problems often occur, and should exercise increased caution.
The forecast released by the meteorological service does not provide a detailed description of sunshine for each district; it only indicates the probability of rain, thunderstorms, and heavy rain. Therefore, it cannot be stated that the weather will be the same throughout Uttar Pradesh on August 9. Short-term thunderstorms are expected in western Uttar Pradesh, while thunderstorms are possible in some places in eastern Uttar Pradesh, meaning the weather may vary depending on the region.
Influence of monsoon depression and low pressure. According to the meteorological service, the weather is influenced by the influence of cyclonic circulation extending to the middle tropospheric layer over southwestern Uttar Pradesh, leading to the formation of a low-pressure area and the persistence of monsoon depression near its usual position. The monsoon depression passes through Sirighanganagar, Delhi, the low-pressure center, Rachi, and Digha, heading towards the east-central Bay of Bengal. There is also a cyclonic circulation extending to the upper tropospheric layer around south-Ganges West Bengal and adjacent Bangladesh. This may lead to the formation of another low-pressure area over coastal West Bengal and the adjacent Northwest Bay of Bengal. This depression will then likely move northwest along the axis of the monsoon depression. The meteorological service notes that due to these weather conditions, the monsoon flow may remain strong, especially in the southern parts of the state, for the next 4-5 days, which could cause heavy rains in some places.
Post-rain impact on August 9. Meteorological service forecasts show that the impact of the rains will not be limited to August 9. On August 10, there is also a high probability of short-term showers with thunderstorms in western and eastern Uttar Pradesh, with heavy rains possible in both regions. On August 11, short-term showers with thunderstorms are expected in western Uttar Pradesh, and rain is also possible in eastern Uttar Pradesh. Heavy rains are possible in western Uttar Pradesh on August 11, while no warning has been issued for eastern Uttar Pradesh. The meteorological service warned of potential consequences of heavy rains, including flooding of low-lying areas and tunnels, partial damage to damp, unsafe, and temporary structures, as well as power outages. Slippery conditions may occur during heavy rain.
