SpaceX is expected to release its inaugural financial report since the initial public offering after the market closed on August 4th. This announcement comes during a period of increased investor caution regarding companies linked to artificial intelligence, and its performance will be closely monitored by both analysts and the market.
Attention is primarily focused on Starlink's results, which is the company's main revenue generator, and on the figures from the artificial intelligence division, given that high investments in this area have raised questions about the expected financial return.
In addition to operational indicators, investors will also track the evolution of infrastructure costs, the growth rate of Starlink subscribers, and the company's ability to maintain its market valuation despite accumulated losses.
SpaceX's entry onto the stock exchange initially attracted significant investor interest; however, this fervor diminished in subsequent weeks. After listing at $135, reaching nearly $200 in the first few days of trading, the shares began to fall, closing at $112.55. This retraction reflects some of the distrust observed in other artificial intelligence sector companies.
According to Morningstar's analysis, Starlink remains the primary source of the company's results. The satellite internet operation achieved a profit close to $1.2 billion, even though the company, in consolidated terms, remains in a loss. In 2025, SpaceX recorded a deficit of nearly $5 billion on total revenue of $18.7 billion. Only in the first quarter of 2026 did losses reach approximately $4.28 billion.
Nicolas Owens, the analyst covering the company at Morningstar, emphasizes that Starlink data will be crucial for assessing the company's operational trajectory. He explained that Starlink is currently the main profit driver and can partially help fund artificial intelligence expansion plans, adding that the second quarter is observing the trend in subscriber base growth.
Another point of observation is the revenue from the artificial intelligence division. It is expected that this segment will account for payments related to infrastructure leasing for companies such as Anthropic, Google, and potentially Reflection. Although such contracts may boost revenue, the analyst's assessment suggests that the operation is still far from being profitable.
Commenting on this segment, Owens evaluates that some revenues may exceed market forecasts. He details that the artificial intelligence division's revenue in the second quarter will include substantial payments for infrastructure leasing made by Anthropic, Google, and perhaps Reflection, which could positively surprise some investors.
Infrastructure spending is also a major focus. According to Morningstar, expenditures directed towards artificial intelligence development more than doubled between 2024 and 2025, with projections indicating a new acceleration in 2026. Regarding this outlook, Owens points out that the strategy requires continuous high financial input, as AI expenses and capital expenditures (capex) continue to grow rapidly, with no forecast for early profitability in this area.
Despite the great attention given to artificial intelligence, the space division continues to be seen as a fundamental part of the company's strategy. Expectations include an increase in launch capacity with Starship, a project designed to carry much larger payloads than current Falcon 9 ones, as well as the future possibility of sending data centers into space.
Owens believes that this progress can increase the company's competitive advantage in the space launch sector. He states that Starship will enhance SpaceX's leadership in launch frequency and transport capacity, as the spacecraft was designed to place a payload up to ten times greater into orbit than that carried by a typical Falcon 9 flight.
Finally, the market will observe the discrepancy between the stock price and the company's financial fundamentals. Data from the survey shows that while the market consensus points to an average target price of $236.72 per share, Owens estimates a fair value of $63, justifying this more cautious view due to uncertainties related to the return on artificial intelligence investments.



