According to World Bank analysts, Uzbekistan is capable of attracting between $5.2 and $6.4 billion in private investment, which will allow for the creation of over 300,000 new jobs.
Drivers of Economic Growth
World Bank experts believe that the main stimulus for this capital inflow comes from ongoing reforms in the logistics, tourism, and pharmaceutical sectors. According to the World Bank group report 'Diagnosis of Uzbekistan's Private Sector,' published on the International Finance Corporation (IFC) portal, transformations in these industries will help the economy transition to a more competitive model.
Sectoral Investment Prospects
Although the country has improved its business climate since 2017, to maintain development momentum, it is necessary to eliminate existing obstacles related to labor shortages and infrastructure limitations, as well as increase competitiveness.
In the logistics sector, simplifying procedures for obtaining cargo transport permits and allocating land plots could attract up to $1.05 billion and create 108,000 jobs. Regarding tourism, reforms concerning facility management and land leasing could attract between $3.1 and $4.2 billion and provide up to 180,000 jobs.
Pharmaceutical Industry Development
The pharmaceutical industry could receive up to $188 million in investment and create 20,000 jobs, provided that laboratories are established and production is adapted to global standards. The World Bank advises simplifying drug registration procedures and improving documentation related to active pharmaceutical ingredients.
International Monetary Fund Forecasts
Furthermore, the International Monetary Fund previously forecasted an 8% growth in Uzbekistan's foreign exchange reserves over the next three years. The Fund also expects the country's real GDP to increase by approximately 6.8% in 2026 and by 6% in the following year, supported by structural changes, high domestic consumption, and investment activity.