Despite reaching a peace agreement between Iran and America, tensions in West Asia are rising again. New concerns have arisen following missile attacks on two vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, which occurred during the funeral of former Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
Accusations and Counterarguments
Qatar placed direct responsibility for the attack on its oil tanker near Hormuz on Iran. In turn, Iran claims that the tanker ignored warnings issued by Iran. This once again raises fears of a possible military confrontation between the US and Iran, jeopardizing the signed peace deal.
Conflict History and Agreement
US President Donald Trump and Iranian President signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) on peace on June 17. This step was seen as significant progress in reducing long-term tensions between the two states. However, even after the deal was concluded between the countries, numerous military attacks and retaliatory actions took place.
Initially, after the vessel was attacked in Hormuz, the US struck Iranian military targets. In response, Iran stated it had launched strikes on American military bases in Kuwait and Bahrain. Following this military confrontation, which lasted about 48 hours, both countries accused each other of violating the terms of the agreement.
New Turn of Events
It was decided to suspend attacks and postpone negotiations for a week until the completion of Ali Khamenei's funeral. Nevertheless, a renewed missile attack in Hormuz during the mourning ceremonies changed the course of events. A representative of the Qatari Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Majid Al-Ansari, made a statement.
He stated that the attack on the Qatari tanker 'Al-Rikayat' near Hormuz is an unacceptable attack on the safety of international shipping and global energy supply. He emphasized that Qatar legally holds Iran responsible for this attack and all its consequences. Official Iranian media presented a different version of events.
According to IRIB, the targeted tanker was attempting to transit through Oman with support from the US fleet. The report indicated that the Iranian army had repeatedly warned the tanker, and action was taken after the warnings were ignored. It was noted that all vessels passing through Hormuz must comply with the rules.
Trump's Threats and Iran's Reaction
Before the vessel attack, US President Donald Trump warned Iran, stating that if an agreement was not reached, America would take all necessary measures. He warned that the US could damage major Iranian energy facilities and infrastructure. Trump noted, however, that his main priority was reaching an agreement, but he would not refrain from action if required.
Iran reacted sharply to this statement. Mohammad Bagher Zolghadra, Secretary of the Iranian Supreme National Security Council, countered Trump's statements. He demanded that the American president speak respectfully to the 91 million Iranians, rather than threatening them. He added that if America used threatening language, Iran would respond in kind, as America had previously faced the consequences of such an approach in the form of defeats and calls for ceasefires.
Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that negotiations for a final agreement would not advance if threats against Iran continued. He referred to point 13 of the Tehran-Washington memorandum, which stipulates that negotiations will not begin if threats persist. He called on America to honor its signatures.
Iranian Army's Stance
Araghchi also reported that millions of Iranians gathered to pay tribute to Khamenei, and neither the Iranian people nor the country's armed forces were unsettled by any threats. The Iranian army made it clear that it was ready to respond to any potential military action, and any act of aggression would be met with a decisive response.
Iran stated that it strives for a diplomatic solution. Its opponents believed that the Islamic Republic would weaken due to the assassinations of Ali Khamenei, military commanders, and scientists, as well as attacks on residential areas. However, the opposite occurred: national unity, public support, and the strength of governance in the country strengthened.
Future of the Peace Agreement
Hopes were placed on the reduction of tensions after the signing of the MOU between the US and Iran. However, constant attacks and retaliatory actions undermined these expectations. Initial attacks, followed by a truce, and then a missile strike in Hormuz during the funeral made the situation extremely sensitive.
The whole world is watching the next steps by the US and Iran. If America responds to this attack with military action, Iran has already warned of a possible counterstrike. In such a situation, tensions in the Persian Gulf could reach a peak again, and only time will tell what path both countries will choose.