Global stock indices showed a decline, and oil prices rose after Donald Trump announced the possible end of the truce with Iran, which reignited concerns about inflation and interest rates.
Geopolitical Risks and Market Reaction
The escalation of geopolitical risks led to a drop in stocks, an increase in bond yields, and higher oil prices. This occurred after US President Donald Trump stated that the truce with Iran might end and that the US would likely conduct further strikes.
A decline in stock values was observed in markets from New York to London and Tokyo. Nearly 400 stocks in the S&P 500 index fell, although chip manufacturers managed to resist this trend. Renewed military actions threaten a new wave of disruptions in energy markets, intensifying inflation concerns. Consequently, money markets are now more confidently expecting the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by October.
Trump's Statements and Market Analysis
During the NATO summit in Ankara, Turkey, on Wednesday, Donald Trump stated: 'We hit them hard last night' and added: 'We might hit them hard again tonight.'
Favad Razakzadeh from Forex.com noted that at the beginning of the week, markets did not take the escalation of tensions between the US and Iran too seriously; however, the situation changed today. Veteran strategist Ed Jardani warned that the collapse of the truce between the US and Iran could trigger a new surge in inflation, which in turn could force the Fed to raise interest rates. Jardani emphasized: 'Inflation concerns are relevant again, and as a result, the Fed is back in the game.'

