The United Nations issued a warning on Tuesday that the current Ebola virus outbreak in Africa could result in losses of up to $3.6 billion for the continent and jeopardize hundreds of thousands of jobs, thereby triggering a wider development crisis.
Situation in DRC and Uganda
According to government data, the outbreak of the Bundibugyo strain in the Democratic Republic of Congo has led to 1,307 infections and 377 deaths since its declaration on May 15. It is noted that there is currently no proven vaccine or treatment for this strain.
Furthermore, while significantly fewer cases have been registered in Uganda, experts warn of the possibility of the disease spreading to neighboring territories such as South Sudan.
Expert Opinions and Scenarios
Damien Mama, a representative of the UN Development Programme in Congo, stated that with resources and intensified efforts, it is possible to contain this outbreak and prevent further losses. He added that otherwise, this public health emergency risks turning into a much deeper and prolonged development crisis in the region and potentially across the entire continent.
The UN Development Programme presented three possible scenarios for the development of events. In the best-case scenario, if the epidemic remains localized in the two countries, the damage to Congo's GDP would be $1 billion. However, in the worst-case scenario, if the disease spreads to countries such as Rwanda and Angola, and coincides with rising fuel prices linked to the Iranian crisis, it could reduce the continental GDP by $3.6 billion and lead to the loss of 328,000 jobs.

